Monday, 22 April 2019



23 MARCH 2019 WMD

LIVE UNGA 73rd Ses/2018 




  13-20 August 2018  

     Kilauea Hawaii     


World Met/Day-23 March 2018 ‘Weather Ready-Climate Smart

Thunderbolts Without Rain Winter Anti-Cyclone (26-30 April 2017)

Thunderstorms Approaching Mauritius, Rodrigues and Reunion (05-08) April 2017.



 ENAWO Intense Tropical Cyclone (03-08 March 2017)  South Indian Ocean-4th 100% Perfect PREDICTION.


      Watch MMS LIVE





CARLOS Tropical Cyclone

(04-07) February 2017- S-W Indian Ocean,

another 100% Perfect PREDICTION.





DINEO-Cyclone  Click Animation- 13 Feb. 2017 (courtesy: NOAA)






FLOOD STORM and Cyclone CARLOS- January 2017.




LUNAR Eclipse-Friday 16 Sep. 2016. 



''NASA Sees Hurricane Matthew'' . Click to watch LIVE from NOAA or Watch from NASA/GPM here 






 LIVE from UN 71st Session  Speech of Sir Anerod Jugnauth PM of Mauritius.






SUN Annular Eclipse from Central Atl/Ocean to SE Indian Ocean-01 September 2016. 





THUNDERBOLTS trigger Heavy Rainfalls in Mauritius and

Rodrigues (28-30) April 2016.


BAN KI-MOON 08-10 May 2016

   Mission in Mauritius.



Part of FANTALA VITC with METEOSAT 7 Video




      Live with NOAA.






Watch Video DAYA Cyclone and TORRENTIAL RAIN  10-13 February 2016: South-West Indian Ocean





WMO Video 23 March-World Meteorological Day 2016





HALO SUN and MOON Predicting FLOOD for MARCH 2016
Halo Sun and Moon March 2016





 Cyclone CORENTIN January 2016

explans the cyclon correntin





 Flood Storm 31 December 2015

Explains the prediction of flood storm of dec 2015







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JOANINHA Marking a Record is another

Threat for Rodrigues (C Warning Class 4 Waived), Mauritius (Heavy Swells Warning), Reunion and Northern Madagascar saved.


The Weather Dynamics of Season 2018-2019 for the South Indian Ocean confirm the initial understanding that Cyclones and Floods will strike relentlessly this zone. IDAI Tropical Cyclone has devastated, mainly, Mozambique, Malawi and Zimbabwe, including hundreds of losses of life and economic assets last week. Tropical Cyclone SAVANNAH which evolved, since 17 March 2019, mostly in the North-West of Australia, has luckily not reached in the Area of Responsibility (AOR) of the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS).


Now the Low Pressure located in the North of Mauritius has evolved very rapidly into a Tropical Disturbance and a Tropical Depression. It has ripened into a Cyclonic System. It has been baptised as Moderate Tropical Storm JOANINHA by the Mauritius Meteorological Services. Rodrigues Island (territory of Mauritius) appears to experience another Direct Threat in the few coming days. The Forecast Tracks by the MMS and by Météo-France-Réunion, which is the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) show this dangerous potential of JOANINHA. Further intensifications are also Forecast within 24 hours.

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HALEH Intense Tropical Cyclone

9th Cyclone and Weather Systems visiting South Indian Ocean

Within 3-4 Months’ Time of Season 2018-2019.

HALEH has been baptised by the Mauritius Meteorological Services on Saturday 02 March 2019. As usual, the Weather System has evolved rapidly into Intense Tropical Cyclone. It also indicates the Dynamics of the Season 2018-2019 Météo-France-Réunion, the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) of South Indian Ocean Basin has released its Advisories as follows:

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FUNANI and GELENA Moderate Tropical Twin Storms

Trigger Hazardous Situations for Mascarene Islands

Cyclone Warning Class 2 for Rodrigues.


Mention has been made regarding the formation on 05 November 2018 and its eventual naming as Moderate Tropical Storm ALCIDE on two days later, that there are many indication for a Dynamic Summer Season 2018-2019 for the South Indian Ocean. BOUCHERA was named on 10 November 2018 and KENANGA was baptized on 15 December 2018 and both escaped from the region of Indonesia. CILIDA was named on 19 December 2018. DESMOND started its life on 20 January 2019 and EKETSANG was born on 24 January 2019, both being named by Météo-Madagascar.

FUNANI Moderate Tropical Storm was named by Mauritius Meteorological Services on 05 February 2019 and Météo-Madagascar baptized GELENA Moderate Tropical Storm on same day. Both Twins have intensified into Severe Tropical Storms and appear to be threats for Rodrigues, Mauritius and Reunion, with a slight probability for Madagascar. Rodrigues was already under Cyclone Warning Class I on 05 February and the Warning has been upgraded to Class II today. See the picture of the 'Monstrous Octopus-Like' FUNANI.

All these 8 Weather Systems within a short span and their very rapid evolution crystalize the Dynamic Season for South Indian Ocean. Besides, the application of Traditional, Indigenous and Local Knowledge/Practices (TILK/P) already gave these indications.

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PABUK Cyclonic Storm-

Thailand, Andaman, Myanmar and Bay of Bengal

Another Winter Phenomenon

The North-Western Pacific Zone and the Tropic of Cancer are still giving birth to Storms despite the Winter Season 2019. The Deep Depression which formed at the dawn of New Year 2019 in South China Sea has intensified and has been named as a PABUK Cyclonic Storm. It has moved towards Thailand. Myanmar, Andaman Islands and Bay of Bengal are also on its track.

India Meteorological Department (IMD), the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) of South Asia, issued its Advisories as mentioned below.

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CILIDA Moderate Tropical Storm

Another Perfect Prediction for

Season 2018-2019 in South Indian Ocean


Traditional, Indigenous, Local Knowledge and Practices (TILK/P) have a tremendous complementary contribution to Science, as far as the Prediction and Forecasting of Natural Calamities are concerned. Such mention has often been made in the last and previous articles on this Website. Mauritius, including Rodrigues Islands are witnessing unprecedented blossoming and production of tropical fruits, mainly Litchis and Mangoes. Such a Natural Phenomenon has traditionally been known and understood by our local folks. No doubt, other parametres like heat, humidity and cloud observations, in addition to Wind direction from the ground and at sea, help in the Prediction of Natural Events. The formation of intensifying KENANGA, in the East of Southern Indian Ocean, is another proof. Refer to the previous article.

The WMO is well-attuned to the application of such ‘Life-Saving-Tools’ and is requested to activate fully and to explore further such priceless resources.

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KENANGA Moderate Tropical Storm and

92 S INVEST another Best Prediction

Made for Indian Ocean

Whole Indian Ocean is under the influence of Dynamic Weather Systems. On one hand, Sri Lanka and the Eastern Territories of India are experiencing the evolution of Cyclonic Storm since 14 December. On the other side, Moderate Tropical Storm KENANGA initially known as “PEACEis moving in the direction of Mascarene Islands from the Indonesia. Another Zone of another Tropical Depression is taking birth in the Northern Area between Madagascar and the Mauritius, Rodrigues and Reunion Islands.

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has signalled all these Weather Systems accurately. Météo-France-Réunion, which is the Regional l Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) has mentioned Cyclogenesis since a few days. Unfortunately, the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS) seems to be still dormant at such crucial moments.  

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PHETHAI named- (94B INVEST/Deep Depression) in Northern Indian Ocean and evolving since 14 December 2018 is Predicted to intensify and make landfall in two days’ time.


Both the Northern and Southern Indian Ocean, including Western Pacific, are still experiencing Cyclonic Conditions, despite being in the Winter Season. A Deep Depression (Tropical Depression) in the Bay of Bengal is influencing Weather near Shri Lanka and adjoining Eastern Territories of India.

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a Press Release at 13.00 hours on Friday 14 December 2018. See below.

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GAJA Cyclonic Storm-Bay of Bengal

Pre-Winter Season 2018

The whole of Indian Ocean is under the rare phenomenon of simultaneous formations of Cyclones. While the Southern Ocean is experiencing a dual Weather System-ALCIDE and BOUCHRA, The Northern Hemisphere has begotten –GAJA Cyclonic Storm in the Bay of Bengal. It is highly likely to evolve into further intensifications within 4-5 days. Moreover, Very Severe Air quality prevailing in India is likely to cause chocking breath for the population.

India Meteorological Department (IMD) issued its Press Release today 11 November 2018 as follows:

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BOUCHRA Mod/Trop/Storm-Weakening & Reviving

2nd Cyclone for Season 2018-2019

(See updates below)


Mention has been rightly made in previous article regarding ALCIDE, that ‘the formation of a band of Low Pressure in Southern Indian Ocean at the end of October has been a perfect indication for the entrance of an Early Summer Season 2018-2019.’ Also that ‘the presence of 94S INVEST in the North East of Mauritius and also of 93S INVEST East of Diego Garcia prove that the South-West Indian Ocean (SWIO) will likely experience Disastrous Cyclones and Rains this Season.’

The Tropical Disturbance which was evolving at 5.7°South and 88.8°East of Diego Garcia has intensified rapidly. The System has been named by the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS), at 22.30 hrs on Saturday 10 November 2018, as Moderate Tropical Storm BOUCHRA. This 2nd Cyclone in the Southern Indian Ocean and which has named within a week-time of ALCIDE, proves that Season 2018-2019 will no doubt beget a Dynamic Period. While Tiny ALCIDE is still struggling and weakening in the North-East of Madagascar, BOUCHRA was almost stationary far 3000 km North-East of Mauritius. As at today, 11 November, it is moving Westwards at 14 km/h.


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