Thursday, 22 August 2019




23 MARCH 2019 WMD

LIVE UNGA 73rd Ses/2018 




  13-20 August 2018  

     Kilauea Hawaii     


World Met/Day-23 March 2018 ‘Weather Ready-Climate Smart

Thunderbolts Without Rain Winter Anti-Cyclone (26-30 April 2017)

Thunderstorms Approaching Mauritius, Rodrigues and Reunion (05-08) April 2017.



 ENAWO Intense Tropical Cyclone (03-08 March 2017)  South Indian Ocean-4th 100% Perfect PREDICTION.


      Watch MMS LIVE





CARLOS Tropical Cyclone

(04-07) February 2017- S-W Indian Ocean,

another 100% Perfect PREDICTION.





DINEO-Cyclone  Click Animation- 13 Feb. 2017 (courtesy: NOAA)






FLOOD STORM and Cyclone CARLOS- January 2017.




LUNAR Eclipse-Friday 16 Sep. 2016. 



''NASA Sees Hurricane Matthew'' . Click to watch LIVE from NOAA or Watch from NASA/GPM here 






 LIVE from UN 71st Session  Speech of Sir Anerod Jugnauth PM of Mauritius.






SUN Annular Eclipse from Central Atl/Ocean to SE Indian Ocean-01 September 2016. 





THUNDERBOLTS trigger Heavy Rainfalls in Mauritius and

Rodrigues (28-30) April 2016.


BAN KI-MOON 08-10 May 2016

   Mission in Mauritius.



Part of FANTALA VITC with METEOSAT 7 Video




      Live with NOAA.






Watch Video DAYA Cyclone and TORRENTIAL RAIN  10-13 February 2016: South-West Indian Ocean





WMO Video 23 March-World Meteorological Day 2016





HALO SUN and MOON Predicting FLOOD for MARCH 2016
Halo Sun and Moon March 2016





 Cyclone CORENTIN January 2016

explans the cyclon correntin





 Flood Storm 31 December 2015

Explains the prediction of flood storm of dec 2015







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Article Index



The Cyclonic Season of 2013-2014 appears to be very active in the South-Western Zone of the Indian Ocean. After the episodes of Intense Cyclones AMARA and BRUCE 16-21 January 2013, a 3rd Cyclone (BEJISA)is in formation in the North East of Madagascar and North West of Agalega. This system is also along the Western extremity of the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) of the Tropic of Capricorn.

(Click image to enlarge and press ESC on keyboard to close)

I mentioned on 07 December 2013, regarding the formation of Cyclone AMARA, that it will take birth around Madagascar and Mozambique Channel. AMARA rather formed around the middle of the ITCZ and was named on 16 December. I also stated that it will evolve like Cyclone DUMILE (01-05 January 2013). Cyclone FELLENG (28 January-02 February 2013) also evolved from the same region. 

I mentioned on 18 December 2013, that 'Other Tropical Depressions including in the region of Mozambique Channel, are highly likely to form as from next week (i.e. now) which will affect Rodrigues, Mauritius and Reunion with lots of rain'. Also that 'The South West Indian Ocean is under the threat of cyclones in series'. This is exactly true. Click here to read more: FIRST TROPICAL CYCLONE AMARA 2013-2014.

It is interesting to note that Cyclone BEJISA, which is in formation in the location of DUMILE. Usually the cyclones which originate from this area, take a longer time to evolve and to intensify. The reasons are that:

  • this extremity of the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) is also under the stress of the Atmospheric system of  Mozambique Channel which is rather a zone of warm air coming mainly from East/South of Africa. So, there are lots of convection currents,
  • the South East Trade Wind continues to blow towards this area and
  • the cold air stream of the South Pole oscillation, which is strongest, brings more convection to influence the formation, intensification or dissolution of the cyclonic system. CLICK HERE to see live.

The Weather Forecast is as follows:

  1. You should have well noticed that there are some moderate rainfall mainly in the South and the Central Plateau since a few days: Grand Bassin-72.2 mm; Mon Bois-57.8 mm; Rose Belle-48.6 mm; Queen Victoria-29.4 mm; Providence-26.8 mm; Belle Mare-37.4; Plaisance-39.5 mm and Port Louis-0.8 mm only. These indicate that the Rain Clouds which are moving from the South West of Mauritius are generating this. (Click picture).
  2. Rainfall will accelerate as from Sunday evening as from the clouds that will move from the West or North West of Mauritius. It is highly likely that these clouds will move at low altitude similar to those of the Torrential Rain of 13 February and of 30 March 2013. Refer to article SATELLITE SERVICES. This will be propelled by the movement of the BEJISA whose trajectory will be towards Reunion, Mauritius and Rodrigues (see satellite imagery above). Eventually, floods are likely to occur in the Central Plateau, Moka and Reduit by 31 December. So, it is strongly advisable to be very cautious especially during these days of parties.
  3. It is highly likely that the Low Pressure will evolve into a Cyclone soon and to influence the region of Reunion, Mauritius and finally Rodrigues, that is, from 01 to 05 January 2014. It appears that the Cyclone will be of a Moderate Intensity giving rather showers for a longer period.
  4. Thunderstorms, humidity, heat, rains, strong wind and high waves at sea are the main ingredients of this system.   
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