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23 MARCH 2019 WMD

LIVE UNGA 73rd Ses/2018 




  13-20 August 2018  

     Kilauea Hawaii     


World Met/Day-23 March 2018 ‘Weather Ready-Climate Smart

Thunderbolts Without Rain Winter Anti-Cyclone (26-30 April 2017)

Thunderstorms Approaching Mauritius, Rodrigues and Reunion (05-08) April 2017.



 ENAWO Intense Tropical Cyclone (03-08 March 2017)  South Indian Ocean-4th 100% Perfect PREDICTION.


      Watch MMS LIVE





CARLOS Tropical Cyclone

(04-07) February 2017- S-W Indian Ocean,

another 100% Perfect PREDICTION.





DINEO-Cyclone  Click Animation- 13 Feb. 2017 (courtesy: NOAA)






FLOOD STORM and Cyclone CARLOS- January 2017.




LUNAR Eclipse-Friday 16 Sep. 2016. 



''NASA Sees Hurricane Matthew'' . Click to watch LIVE from NOAA or Watch from NASA/GPM here 






 LIVE from UN 71st Session  Speech of Sir Anerod Jugnauth PM of Mauritius.






SUN Annular Eclipse from Central Atl/Ocean to SE Indian Ocean-01 September 2016. 





THUNDERBOLTS trigger Heavy Rainfalls in Mauritius and

Rodrigues (28-30) April 2016.


BAN KI-MOON 08-10 May 2016

   Mission in Mauritius.



Part of FANTALA VITC with METEOSAT 7 Video




      Live with NOAA.






Watch Video DAYA Cyclone and TORRENTIAL RAIN  10-13 February 2016: South-West Indian Ocean





WMO Video 23 March-World Meteorological Day 2016





HALO SUN and MOON Predicting FLOOD for MARCH 2016
Halo Sun and Moon March 2016





 Cyclone CORENTIN January 2016

explans the cyclon correntin





 Flood Storm 31 December 2015

Explains the prediction of flood storm of dec 2015







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Article Index


10TH FOR SEASON 2013-2014.


IVANOE TROPICAL CYCLONE-04 APRIL 2014 The Cyclonic Season 2013-2014 for the South Indian Ocean continues to be Very Dynamic. CYCLONE IVANOE was already in formation since Wednesday 02 April 2014 around the South East of Diego Garcia, as mentioned in previous article on HELLEN (9th) INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) US, named it as Tropical Disturbance 96 S INVEST on 04 April. It intensified quickly and was named as Moderate Tropical Storm IVANOE by the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS) today 05 April. 

Cyclone IVANOE was already in formation since I identified it on 

IVANOE CYLONE in formation-02 April 2014 Wednesday 02 April 2014, as mentioned in article: HELLEN (9th) INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center located it (South West of Cocos Island) on 05 April at Latitude 20.40 South and Longitude 82.2 East, moving South South-East at more than 22 kph. 

The Tropical Disturbance had a large mass of clouds which were under the threat of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC). The southern andNOAA 96 S INVEST -04 APRIL 2014 eastern parts of the cyclonic system were stripped off, but the trajectory kept the same. The western zone of the band of clouds showed some resilience and became more organised. As a result, it intensified and the Mauritius Meteorological Services named it as Moderate Tropical Storm IVANOE on Saturday 05 April.

Nevertheless, IVANOE continues to move on the same trajectory SSE, as the ACC is very powerful. In other words, IVANOE is bound to become aIVANOE named by MMS-05 APRIL 2014 Sub-Tropical and eventually an Extra-Tropical Cyclone. At this conjecture, the cyclone will cruise towards the South West of Australia in a few days time. This may cause a disturbance for the explorers of the Malaysian Airliner MH 370 which is lost since 10 March this year.            Click here to verify live. 


It should be noted that almost all the cyclones originate from both the Upper and Lower Hemisphere of the EQUATOR. Most of these take birth in the East of the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and around 40% from the West-along the Mozambique Channel or around Madagascar. All of the cyclones, except a few, adopt a trajectory towards the South Pole, whether they make landfall or not. This is the Law of Nature.

Moreover, the ACC, being the strongest atmospheric system of the Blue Planet, neutralises all cyclones and weather systems and drags them towards the cold waters of the South Pole. The ACC acts as a safeguard if it coincides with the cyclonic/weather system outside the land mass.

Examples: ALENGA (5-15 December 2011), CLAUDIA (7-11 December 2012), BRUCE (20-25 December 2013), FOBANE (07-12 February 2014) and IVANOE.

But, it also causes disasters if it coincides with the cyclones/weather systems around the islands or Southern Africa. Examples: AMARA (16-21 December 2013), BEJISA (28 December 2013-03 January 2014), EDILSON (5-6 February 2014), TORRENTIAL RAINFALL in Rodrigues on 14 March 2014 and the HEAVY RAINFALL in Mauritius on 21 March 2014.

The rainfalls recorded by the MMS on 04 April are 3.6 mm in Port Louis and 22.4 mm (maximum) in Providence. Grand Bassin has been showered by 9.8 mm on 05 April. However, keep watch as other Rain Clouds are approaching.

 As usual, the MMS does not appear to have constructed a Forecast Track of IVANOE despite it named the Cyclone on 05 April 2014. Refer to those of JTWC and to Météo France-Reunion below.                                                                                        

Meteo France Reunion IVANOE Forecast Track-04 APRIL 2014

JTWC IVANOE Forecast Track-05 April 2014





P.KANHYE.                                              06 APRIL 2014.


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