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World Met/Day-23 March 2018 ‘Weather Ready-Climate Smart

Thunderbolts Without Rain Winter Anti-Cyclone (26-30 April 2017)

Thunderstorms Approaching Mauritius, Rodrigues and Reunion (05-08) April 2017.



 ENAWO Intense Tropical Cyclone (03-08 March 2017)  South Indian Ocean-4th 100% Perfect PREDICTION.


      Watch MMS LIVE





CARLOS Tropical Cyclone

(04-07) February 2017- S-W Indian Ocean,

another 100% Perfect PREDICTION.





DINEO-Cyclone  Click Animation- 13 Feb. 2017 (courtesy: NOAA)






FLOOD STORM and Cyclone CARLOS- January 2017.




LUNAR Eclipse-Friday 16 Sep. 2016. 



''NASA Sees Hurricane Matthew'' . Click to watch LIVE from NOAA or Watch from NASA/GPM here 






 LIVE from UN 71st Session  Speech of Sir Anerod Jugnauth PM of Mauritius.






SUN Annular Eclipse from Central Atl/Ocean to SE Indian Ocean-01 September 2016. 





THUNDERBOLTS trigger Heavy Rainfalls in Mauritius and

Rodrigues (28-30) April 2016.


BAN KI-MOON 08-10 May 2016

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Part of FANTALA VITC with METEOSAT 7 Video




      Live with NOAA.






Watch Video DAYA Cyclone and TORRENTIAL RAIN  10-13 February 2016: South-West Indian Ocean





WMO Video 23 March-World Meteorological Day 2016





HALO SUN and MOON Predicting FLOOD for MARCH 2016
Halo Sun and Moon March 2016





 Cyclone CORENTIN January 2016

explans the cyclon correntin





 Flood Storm 31 December 2015

Explains the prediction of flood storm of dec 2015







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UPDATED 11.00 pm 11 APRIL 2014



Cyclone IVANOE evolved very quickly; from its formation on 02 April 2014, as a Tropical Disturbance on 04 April, named as Moderate Tropical Storm on 05 April and its dissolution as an Extra-Tropical Cyclone by 06 April. It moved in a South-South-East trajectory with an accelerated speed of 45 kph.


The reasons for the short life of IVANOE are as follows:       


  1. It is clear that IVANOE has been under the direct influence of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) which is prevailing strongly as from January 2014;
  2. The Blue Planet is tilting (bending) towards the South. It means that the Northern Hemisphere is leaving the Winter Season and entering the Summer Season and eventually the Southern Hemisphere is leaving the Summer Season (October to April) and entering (transiting) the Winter Solstice;
  3. Conclusively, cold air combined with a vigorous wind current is causing the dissolution of warm air and any cyclone prevailing on its way.


Observations of the complex weather systems:


The Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) is blowing, as usual, cold air in an Anti-Clock Wise movement. As it is capable of reaching almost whole of the Tropic of Capricorn, the temperature has decreased and the wind is blowing with gusts of over 50-80 kph and also generating waves of 3-7 mt high.


Moreover, the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is operating in an enhanced phase. As a result, the two systems have intersected or fused around the Mascarene Islands and causing lots of convections with the clouds. The clouds have been moving from the South West and North West directions during Monday 07-Thursday 10 April (see pictures). 


Rainfalls have occurred in the Southern Indian Ocean during and after the life span of IVANOE Tropical Cyclone. Most of the Clouds appear to have passed over the Mascarenes. But, the Heavier Rain Clouds seem to travel between Mauritius and Reunion Islands on 07 April (see picture). The maximum rainfall of 7.8 mm has been recorded by MMS at Grand Bassin on 10 April and 30.4 mm today. Temperature in the Central Plateau is forecast to be 16-18 degrees Celsius tonight, gusts to reach about 65 kph and Waves at seas estimated at about 3 mts.


Reunion Island has been showered with 51mm on 11 April. In addition, the South, South-West and South East of Reunion were under High Waves Warning: 3-8 mts and temperature has fallen to 6-7 degrees yesterday. Gusts reach about 70-80 kph. Click here to verify live.



The Winter Season appears to have entered quickly, because of the enhanced phase of the ACC. At first, cold winds will blow abruptly during one or two weeks and will prevail normally. The scientific world has Predicted that the El NINO Oscillation, which was in a neutral phase during the last few years, will revive to a hotter Summer for the Northern Hemisphere within two months’ time. If extreme weather will prevail there, so there will be an impact in the Southern Hemisphere -Indian Ocean. I Predict that this Winter Season may be rather warm, except for a few days of harsh colds. It is worthwhile to note that cyclonic systems do also occur in winter like Cyclone KUENA-a Winter Phenomenon of 08 June 2012 in the North East of Madagascar.


Refer to the extracts of Extreme Weather Records in the Southern Indian Ocean according to WMO Weather and Climate Extremes Map.




World Weather Element

World Element Characteristic


Date (D/M/Y)

Site Observations

Geopolitical Location

Longitude/ Latitude



Greatest 1-Min Rainfall

31.2mm (1.23")


1948- present

Unionville, MD, USA

38°48'N, 76°08'W



Greatest 60-Min Rainfall

305mm (12.0")



Holt, MO, USA

39°27'N, 94°20'W

263m (863ft)

Greatest 12-Hr Rainfall

1.144 m (45.0'')



Foc-Foc, La Réunion

21°14'S, 55°41'E

2290m (7513ft)

Greatest 24-Hr Rainfall

1.825m (71.8")



Foc-Foc, La Réunion

21°14'S, 55°41'E

2290m (7513ft)

Greatest 48-Hr Rainfall

2.493m (98.15")



Cherrapunji, India

25°02'N, 91°08'E

1313m (4308ft)

Greatest 72-Hr Rainfall

3.929m (154.7")



Cratère Commerson, La Réunion

21°12'S, 55°39'E

2310m (7579ft)

Greatest 96-Hr Rainfall

4.869m (191.7")



Cratère Commerson, La Réunion

21°12'S, 55°39'E

2310m (7579ft)

Greatest 12-Mo Rainfall

26.47m (1042")


1851- present

Cherrapunji, India

25°02'N, 91°08'E

1313m 4308ft)



Largest Rainfall of Tropical Cyclones


Date (D/M/Y)

Length of Record

Tropical Cyclone

Latitude/ Longitude

12 hr

1.144m (45.0")



Tropical Cyclone Denise in South Indian Ocean

21°14'S, 55°41'E

24 hr

1.825m (71.8")


1966- 1990

Tropical Cyclone Denise in South Indian Ocean

21°14'S, 55°41'E

48 hr

2.467m (97.1")


1952-1980/ 2004- present

Unnamed Tropical Cyclone In South Indian Ocean

21°00'S, 55°26'E

72 hr

3.929m (154.7")



Tropical Cyclone Gamede in South Indian Ocean

21°12'S, 55°39'E

96 hr

4.869m (191.7")



Tropical Cyclone Gamede in South Indian Ocean

21°12'S, 55°39'E


5.678m (223.5")


1968- present

Tropical Cyclone Hyacinte in South Indian Ocean

21°12'S, 55°39'E













P.KANHYE.                                                              11 APRIL 2014



                  HELLEN (9th) TROPICAL CYCLONE IN FORMATION-06 MARCH 2014;




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