Monday, 21 January 2019



LIVE UNGA 73rd Ses/2018 




  13-20 August 2018  

     Kilauea Hawaii     


World Met/Day-23 March 2018 ‘Weather Ready-Climate Smart

Thunderbolts Without Rain Winter Anti-Cyclone (26-30 April 2017)

Thunderstorms Approaching Mauritius, Rodrigues and Reunion (05-08) April 2017.



 ENAWO Intense Tropical Cyclone (03-08 March 2017)  South Indian Ocean-4th 100% Perfect PREDICTION.


      Watch MMS LIVE





CARLOS Tropical Cyclone

(04-07) February 2017- S-W Indian Ocean,

another 100% Perfect PREDICTION.





DINEO-Cyclone  Click Animation- 13 Feb. 2017 (courtesy: NOAA)






FLOOD STORM and Cyclone CARLOS- January 2017.




LUNAR Eclipse-Friday 16 Sep. 2016. 



''NASA Sees Hurricane Matthew'' . Click to watch LIVE from NOAA or Watch from NASA/GPM here 






 LIVE from UN 71st Session  Speech of Sir Anerod Jugnauth PM of Mauritius.






SUN Annular Eclipse from Central Atl/Ocean to SE Indian Ocean-01 September 2016. 





THUNDERBOLTS trigger Heavy Rainfalls in Mauritius and

Rodrigues (28-30) April 2016.


BAN KI-MOON 08-10 May 2016

   Mission in Mauritius.



Part of FANTALA VITC with METEOSAT 7 Video




      Live with NOAA.






Watch Video DAYA Cyclone and TORRENTIAL RAIN  10-13 February 2016: South-West Indian Ocean





WMO Video 23 March-World Meteorological Day 2016





HALO SUN and MOON Predicting FLOOD for MARCH 2016
Halo Sun and Moon March 2016





 Cyclone CORENTIN January 2016

explans the cyclon correntin





 Flood Storm 31 December 2015

Explains the prediction of flood storm of dec 2015







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99S INVEST (CEBILE Failed to Form) in Mozambique Channel

Weather in the Southern Hemisphere of Season 2017-2018 continues to evolve in different pattern and in a very dynamic way, as mentioned in previous articles. Rainfalls and Cyclonic Systems are already causing disasters in this zone. After Tropical Cyclone AVA made landfall in Madagascar 03-05 January 2018, Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA threatened Rodrigues Island 13-15 January. Cyclone IRVIN (06-08 January 2018), luckily, tracked in the open Southern Indian Ocean, without meeting any land mass. However, Reunion and Mauritius have been showered Heavily during all these episodes. On one hand, while Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA continues to intensify and to appear a serious menace to Mauritius, on the other side a Tropical Disturbance is in formation in the Mozambique Channel. This is the ‘Hot Spot’ of the South-West Indian Ocean Basin. International Centres: the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has named it 99S INVEST; Météo-France (MF) has named it as 4-2017-2018. In case of intensification, it may be named CEBILE Moderate Tropical Storm. Besides, it resembles DINEO after CARLOS in Season 2016-2017.  Is it DOOMSDAY?


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96S INVEST-Forecast as Severe Tropical Cyclone

Within 24 Hours for Australia- 


(See Updates below)


The Southern Hemisphere of the Indian Ocean appears, no doubt, to develop some particular Dynamism in terms of Cyclones and Rainfalls. IRVIN-Severe Tropical Cyclone formed in the West of Cocos Island. It was named, by Australian Bureau of Meteorology (ABOM), on 06 January 2018. IRVIN is still influencing Eastern Indian Ocean and a Fujiwhara Effect is expected with the weakening Tropical Cyclone AVA.

Another Cyclone is highly probable, for Western Australia. Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has identified Tropical Disturbance 96S INVEST to intensify within 24 hours. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (ABOM) indicates, as at 5.52 pm (11.52 am Mtian-Time), 09 January 2018, that ‘Tropical Low’ is expected to develop into a Severe Tropical Cyclone almost at the same pace.

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Rodrigues- Predicted Heavy Rainfalls by 13 January 2018. 

100% Perfect Prediction


(See Updates below)

The Summer Season 2017-2018 for South Indian Ocean has undergone a Dynamic Change in Weather Patterns, as compared to the previous years. Rodrigues Island, located around Latitude 220 South and Longitude 630 East, in under the impacts of the currently prevailing Cyclones AVA and IRVIN-the First Twin Weather Systems of this zone. Moreover, the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), the South-East Trade Winds (SETW) and the Robust Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) are contributing for the occurrence of HEAVY RAINFALLS, particularly on the drought-stricken Rodrigues. It is a Phenomenal Zone wherein all these systems undergo an Atmospheric Fusion. As a result, Extreme Weather Events take place. Besides, Reunion Island has already broken, yesterday 09 January 2018, the World Record (690 mm) in terms of Rainfalls in 6 hours with 737.2 mm of precipitations. This is Predicted, highly likely, to happen by 13 January 2018.   

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IRVIN Tropical Cyclone named by Australia BOM

Evolving from Cocos Islands-

2nd Cyclone for South Indian Ocean 2017-2018.

(Pl, Wait as Uploading is Still ON) 

The Summer Season 2017-2018 for South Indian Ocean appears to develop a particular dynamism in terms of Cyclones and Rains. While Tropical Cyclone AVA is making landfall across Madagascar, bands of Rain Clouds are following it, causing additional Disasters. The Australia Bureau of Meteorology (ABOM) has named another System as IRVIN Tropical Cyclone this morning. This Cyclone is moving West South-West at 20 kph. It represents a serious threat to Rodrigues, Mauritius and Reunion which have, during current week, been under floods associated with Tropical Cyclone AVA.

NB: Météo-France-Reunion (MFR) and Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC have been consistently signaling Cyclogenesis in this zone.

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AVA- First named Cyclone for Season 2017-2018

South Indian Ocean

(Pl, Wait as Uploading is still ON)

The Summer Season 2017-2018 for South Indian Ocean started officially from 01 November 2017. A Rainy episode occurred 14-17 November thereon. One Sub-Tropical Disturbance evolved in South of Madagascar 09-12 November 2017 and a second one on 17 November. Another Rainy period lasted from 23 to24 December 2017. Tropical Disturbance 94S INVEST formed on 29 December in the South-East of Diego Garcia moving almost West South-West after a slow intensification. Local, regional and international Forecasters experienced a lot of uncertainty regarding its dissipation or upgrading. Finally, it was named, at 10.00 am today 03 January 2018, by Météo-Madagascar as AVA Moderate Tropical Storm. It is noteworthy to state that the Pattern of Cyclogenesis for this Season seems to have changed as compared to that of 2016-2017 and of previous years.

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Weather and Cyclone Names for Summer Season 2017-2018

Southern Indian Ocean Basin

(Pl Wait, Uploading is Still ON)

The Weather Systems, forming and evolving in the Southern Indian Ocean Basin, have undergone significant changes. The Patterns of previous years do not seem to be consistent. Meteorologists, Forecasters and Scientists are obliged to do their homework competently. 01 November marks, officially, the beginning of Summer Season in the South-West Indian Ocean. However, as at date, Cyclogenesis have been signalled rather timidly, at local, regional and international levels. Nevertheless, the Summer Outlook 2016-17’ released by KANHYE.COM is a Record in Prediction of Weather on Medium Term basis. Refer to article.

Keep watch for more.

PKANHYE                    11.25 am Saturday 30 December 2017.

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OCKHI Very Severe Cyclonic Storm-Brief Assessment and

Disaster Resilience in India

International Centres

NOAA Climate Prediction Center has been indicating Cyclogenesis and Rainfall in the Bay of Bengal since 01 November until 28 November 2017. It was valid although Very Severe Cyclonic Storm OCKHI tracked towards the Arabian Sea. Refer to the pictures.

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Central India-Heavy Rains and Cyclonic System Approaching

                (Updated: 4.30 pm Monday 24 July 2017.)


On one hand, the Northern Hemisphere-Tropic of Cancer seems to be under the onslaughts of a series of Cyclonic Systems. While the Atlantic Ocean appears to be rather calm, except one Cyclone, the Weather Systems in the whole Pacific Ocean are very dynamical. NOAA explains: There appears to have been some organization of a coherent MJO signal over the past one to two weeks, though other convective variability continues to make for a complicated picture.”

On the other hand, the South-West Indian Monsoon is triggering Heavy Rainfalls and Flash Floods in which more than 70 people have been reported dead during this week and economic, agricultural and residential sectors have also been seriously affected.

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MORA Severe Cyclonic Storm-Phenomenal

Churning Monsoon Rains  and

Early Warning Systems- Not Perfect

The rapid evolution, since 25 May 2017, of 94 B INVEST into Severe Cyclonic Storm MORA and its eventual dissipation, is no doubt Phenomenal. It is also a matter of fact that it has, in combination with the South-West Monsoon, caused disastrous impacts all along its track until making landfall in Bangladesh. The Early Warning Systems seem not to be Perfect. UN and Media reports indicate considerable losses of lives, damage to property and economic loss, coupled with Humanitarian Crisis.

 (Uploaded: 11.50 pm SUNDAY 04 JUNE 2017)

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Tropical Disturbance Trapped in the

South-West Monsoon System-

MORA Cyclonic Storm finally named.

 (See UPDATES: 10.50 pm Sunday 28 MAY 2017

& 12.25 pm Monday 29 MAY 2017)

The South-West Monsoon Season of Asia seems to be trapping a Tropical Disturbance which is evolving since a few days in the Bay of Bengal. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has named it as 94 B INVEST on 26 May 2017. However, the probability of Cyclone Development was forecast to be Low, as the System showed slow development. However, it has signalled some slight improvement today.

UPLOADED: 5.00 pm SATURDAY 27 MAY 2017.


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