Wednesday, 23 May 2018

  Kilauea Hawaii

  Courtesy: USGS

 

WORLD METEOROLOGICAL DAY 23 MARCH 2018 

‘Weather-Ready, Climate-Smart’

Watch Video-Thunderbolts Without Rain and

Winter Anti-Cyclone (26-30 April 2017.

Watch Video-Thunderstorms Approaching Mauritiu,

Rodrigues and Reunion (05-08) April 2017.

 

 

Watch ENAWO Intense Tropical Cyclone (03-08 March 2017)

South Indian Ocean-4th 100% Perfect PREDICTION.

Watch MMS LIVE 

 

 

 Watch CARLOS Tropical Cyclne (04-07) February 2017-

South-West Indian Ocean, another 100% Perfect PREDICTION.

 

 

 

 Watch DINEO- Click Animation- 13 Feb. 2017 (courtesy: NOAA)

 

 

  

Watch Video-FLOOD STORM and Cyclone CARLOS Formations- January 2017.

INNOVATION & UNIQUENESS of MADAGASCAR- Watch VIDEO

 Watch LUNAR Eclipse-Friday 16 September 2016. 

 

 

''NASA Sees Hurricane Matthew'' .

Click to watch LIVE from NOAA or Watch from NASA/GPM here 

 

 

 

 

  Watch LIVE from UN 71st Session 

Speech of Sir Anerod JugnauthPrime Minister of Mauritius.

 

 

  Watch VIDEO: SUN Annular Eclipse from Central Atlantic Ocean

to South-East Indian Ocean-01 September 2016.. 

 

 

 

 Watch VIDEO: THUNDERBOLTS trigger Heavy Rainfalls in Mauritius

and Rodrigues (28-30) April 2016.

 Watch VIDEO on BAN KI-MOON 08-10 May 2016 Mission in Mauritius.

 Watch part of FANTALA VITC with METEOSAT 7 Video

 Watch animation of CYCLONE FANTALA Live with NOAA.

 

 

 

 

Watch Video DAYA Cyclone and TORRENTIAL RAIN 10-13 February 2016:

South-West Indian Ocean

 

 

 

 

 

Watch WMO Video 23 MarchWorld Meteorological Day 2016

 

 

 

 

 

HALO SUN and MOON Predicting FLOOD for MARCH 2016
Halo Sun and Moon March 2016

 

 

 

 

Watch Cyclone CORENTIN January 2016

explans the cyclon correntin

 

 

 

 

 

Watch Flood Storm 31 December 2015

Explains the prediction of flood storm of dec 2015

 

 

 

 

 

CLICK HERE TO WATCH ALL VIDEOS 

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Summer Outlook 2016-2017- South Indian Ocean,

Predictions and Cyclone Names

The Summer Season for South-West Indian Ocean has, according to the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS), officially started as from 01 November 2016. It is expected to end by 15 May. So far, there are no harsh weather conditions which are prevailing, except the Special Weather Bulletin of 03 December 2016. Local observations show that Heat, Humidity, Drought and Rains continue to persist, rather moderately. In addition, Regional and International Centres are, thus, not alerting alarming situations. But, Cyclonic Systems are Predicted to cause impacts as from January 2017, because the Weather Pattern seems to have changed in comparison to preceding years.

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PHENOMENAL BRANSBY-First Sub-Tropical Depression

for Summer Season 2016-2017-South Indian Ocean

UPDATED  ON 09 OCTOBER 2016

The First Sub-Tropical Depression for Summer Season 2016-2017, after Cyclone ABELA (17 July 2016), is in formation in the South of Madagascar. The bands of Clouds associated with the Anti-Cyclone in the South Pole, mainly from the Southern Atlantic Ocean, are carrying Heat. The Atmospheric Pressure around this zone is 1004 Hectopascals. As per the Weather Bulletin issued by the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS) at 11.40 am 05 October 2016, the Depression has been named by Météo-Madagascar as BRANSBY.    

 PKANHYE.                                                12. 10 PM 05 OCTOBER 2016.

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ABELA Cyclone 0f South Indian Ocean in Formation

Winter Phenomenon  

NEW UPDATE: 10.00 pm Sunday 17 JULY 2016

The Winter Season 2016 in the Southern Indian Ocean continues to blow cold winds generated by the influence of the Anti-Cyclone and to shower some light rains in Mauritius, Rodrigues and Reunion. The Joint Typhoon Warning Centre (JTWC) continues to indicate, since May 2016, the formation of the Low Pressure System (90 S INVEST) near the East North-East of Diego Garcia. This time the circumstances and chances for the evolution of a Tropical Cyclone seem to be better. The Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS) has named the Tropical Depression, at 3.15 pm on Sunday 17 July 2016, as Moderate Tropical Storm ABELA. So, at this conjecture, the name GOA is not valid. Refer to the explanations below.

 

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RODRIGUES ISLAND Lucky Escape from Unprecedented Thunderbolts

Whole Night of 30 April 2016

The Summer Season 2015-2016 is phasing out with Thunder, Lightning and Rain in the Southern Indian Ocean. Rodrigues Island experienced the Extreme Atmospheric Phenomenon of an unprecedented nature during the night of Saturday 30 April 2016. Although the Precipitations were moderate-to-average, the rumbling of Thunderbolts was rather frightening.

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Thunderbolts and Heavy Rain

Whole Night of 28 April 2016 in Mauritius

Loopholes of the Mauritius Meteorological Services

 

Thunder, Lightning and Rain have caused much panic in the population and authorities last night. In fact, tremendous thunder started rumbling as from 7.00 pm Thursday 28 April 2016, in the region of Port Louis. Flashes of large Lightning followed soon afterwards, as if the whole sky was ablaze.

The process began as from the North-West of Mauritius just above the Port Louis Mountain Range cruised towards the South-East. This was vivid while observing the sky as from that time, helped by the light illuminating everything on top and on the ground. Radar Images, as depicted on Météo-France-Reunion site, confirmed the meteors.

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FANTALA-Very Intense Tropical Cyclone: Record Breaker.

 Scientific Loopholes, But Best Prediction.

 (PART TWO- ASSESSMENT)

(You are requested to read PART ONE before Proceding Click Here)

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/ Climate Prediction Center (NOAA/CPC) released its update on 05 April 2016, ‘Valid: 04.06.16 - 04.19.16:

'A fast moving intraseasonal signal, evident in the RMM MJO Index and the upper-level velocity potential field, remains active, with the enhanced phase currently over Africa and the far western Indian Ocean...

Statistical guidance such as the Constructed Analog model depict a much more robust Indian Ocean MJO event; however, these tools are not accounting for the current West Pacific convection.'Therefore, the MJO is anticipated to become increasingly incoherent during the next two weeks, and will not play a substantial role in the global tropical convective pattern.'  

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 HIGH WAVES WARNING-SOUTH OF MASCARENE ISLANDS

The Summer Season 2015-2016 seems to end gradually and with some transition until the entry of Winter. However, a High Waves Warning has been issued by the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS) at 4.00 pm on Thursday 07 April 2016 and valid until 5.00 pm Sunday 10 April 2016. Waves of more than 4 metres in height have been forecast to swirl in the Sea within and beyond the lagoons of the South and West of Mauritius.

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DAYA- 4th CYCLONE and TORRENTIAL RAIN-4th FLOOD STORM-

Phenomenal TWIN System and South-West Indian Ocean Monsoon

BRIEF ASSESSMENT-PART TWO

(Click here to read PART ONE)

Advent of Phenomenal TWIN SYSTEMS

The Torrential Rain and Cyclone DAYA were already a Tandem of TWIN System which influenced, disastrously, the Atmospheric Conditions mostly in the Mascarene Islands: Reunion, Mauritius and Rodrigues. Nevertheless, another System joined in the ‘party’. CYCLONE URIAH, named by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), shifted in the Area of Responsibility (AOR) of the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS) as from Monday 15 February 2016. Rainy episodes continued, namely, with Port Louis 40 mm on that day and thereafter in the following days. The MMS continued to issue bulletins.

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FANATALA CYCLONE-PHENOMENAL RECORD BREAKER

VISITING MADAGASCAR AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS-

SCIENTIFIC LOOPHOLES, BUT BEST PREDICTION.

(Part One of Assessment) 

The Summer Season 2015-2016 of the South Indian Ocean continues to prevail, in spite of the transition towards Winter Season. As usual, Satellite Images and Observations from the ground of Mauritius have provided information regarding the formation and evolution of Climate and Weather. Cyclone FANTALA, the 7th System of this Season, has taken a long time to take birth in the South Indian Ocean. That is why I mentioned and maintained my forecast of the formation of FANTALA as from18 March 2016. Contrary to the preceding Atmospheric Systems, FANTALA has evolved in solo and has proved to be a 'Record-Breaker'. It has visited Madagascar and the surrounding Islands, including others located in the South-West Indian Ocean. Refer to the information uploaded previously and also see the picture.

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EMERAUDE Moderate Tropical Storm 

 (See UPDATE 1 @ page 2)

Mauritius Meteorological Services located  abaout 1540 Km East South-East of Diego Garcia has been named today:

[ WEATHER NEWS FOR MAURITIUS ISSUED AT 05h00 THIS WEDNESDAY 16 MARCH 2016.

GENERAL SITUATION:

A.  A light, warm and moist airstream persists over our region.

B.  A tropical depression was evolving far to South-East of Diego Garcia.  It has intensified into a Moderate Tropical Storm and was named "EMERAUDE" by the Mauritius Meteorological Services.  At 04h00, it was centered in latitude 11.0 degrees South and longitude 85.7 degrees East.]

Check it out here and click for animation:   http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/international/irloop/24hr/atlind_irloop.html

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