Thursday, 18 October 2018



LIVE UNGA 73rd Ses/2018 




  13-20 August 2018  

     Kilauea Hawaii     


World Met/Day-23 March 2018 ‘Weather Ready-Climate Smart

Thunderbolts Without Rain Winter Anti-Cyclone (26-30 April 2017)

Thunderstorms Approaching Mauritius, Rodrigues and Reunion (05-08) April 2017.



 ENAWO Intense Tropical Cyclone (03-08 March 2017)  South Indian Ocean-4th 100% Perfect PREDICTION.


      Watch MMS LIVE





CARLOS Tropical Cyclone

(04-07) February 2017- S-W Indian Ocean,

another 100% Perfect PREDICTION.





DINEO-Cyclone  Click Animation- 13 Feb. 2017 (courtesy: NOAA)






FLOOD STORM and Cyclone CARLOS- January 2017.




LUNAR Eclipse-Friday 16 Sep. 2016. 



''NASA Sees Hurricane Matthew'' . Click to watch LIVE from NOAA or Watch from NASA/GPM here 






 LIVE from UN 71st Session  Speech of Sir Anerod Jugnauth PM of Mauritius.






SUN Annular Eclipse from Central Atl/Ocean to SE Indian Ocean-01 September 2016. 





THUNDERBOLTS trigger Heavy Rainfalls in Mauritius and

Rodrigues (28-30) April 2016.


BAN KI-MOON 08-10 May 2016

   Mission in Mauritius.



Part of FANTALA VITC with METEOSAT 7 Video




      Live with NOAA.






Watch Video DAYA Cyclone and TORRENTIAL RAIN  10-13 February 2016: South-West Indian Ocean





WMO Video 23 March-World Meteorological Day 2016





HALO SUN and MOON Predicting FLOOD for MARCH 2016
Halo Sun and Moon March 2016





 Cyclone CORENTIN January 2016

explans the cyclon correntin





 Flood Storm 31 December 2015

Explains the prediction of flood storm of dec 2015







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CARLOS Severe Tropical Storm: 100% Perfect PREDICTION-

Poor Forecasts, Monitoring and Disaster Resilience

(Brief Assessment. Follow updates patiently) 


Finally, CARLOS Storm has taken birth in the zone as Predicted since 07-11 January 2017 and was baptised by the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS) at 4.15 pm on Saturday 04 February. It was initially located, as a Tropical Disturbance and Depression at Latitude 16.50 South and Longitude 56.60 East, 415 km North of Mauritius. It was moving South South-East at 10 kph. Its rapid evolution and intensification tend to delude local, regional and international meteorologists and scientists. Lots of uncertainties arise as to its behaviour, given: its tiny size, the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) environment varying between 280-300 Celsius and the probable impacts of ITCZ, MJO, SETW and ACC.

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Cyclone CARLOS in Pipeline

 (Kindly, read the previous article on 'Summer Outlook 2017' before continuing, CLICK HERE)

The last paragraph of the previous article reads as follows:

‘NB: CARLOS which is the next name in the cyclone list is in the pipeline to form after the second week of January 2017. A FLOOD STORM, too, is preceding this System.

The current Weather Conditions around the South-West Indian Ocean prove that the PREDICTION made on 07-11 January 2017 is 100% VIRTUALLY True. See picture on the left and Watch Video below.

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Summer Outlook 2016-2017- South Indian Ocean,

Predictions and Cyclone Names

The Summer Season for South-West Indian Ocean has, according to the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS), officially started as from 01 November 2016. It is expected to end by 15 May. So far, there are no harsh weather conditions which are prevailing, except the Special Weather Bulletin of 03 December 2016. Local observations show that Heat, Humidity, Drought and Rains continue to persist, rather moderately. In addition, Regional and International Centres are, thus, not alerting alarming situations. But, Cyclonic Systems are Predicted to cause impacts as from January 2017, because the Weather Pattern seems to have changed in comparison to preceding years.

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PHENOMENAL BRANSBY-First Sub-Tropical Depression

for Summer Season 2016-2017-South Indian Ocean


The First Sub-Tropical Depression for Summer Season 2016-2017, after Cyclone ABELA (17 July 2016), is in formation in the South of Madagascar. The bands of Clouds associated with the Anti-Cyclone in the South Pole, mainly from the Southern Atlantic Ocean, are carrying Heat. The Atmospheric Pressure around this zone is 1004 Hectopascals. As per the Weather Bulletin issued by the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS) at 11.40 am 05 October 2016, the Depression has been named by Météo-Madagascar as BRANSBY.    

 PKANHYE.                                                12. 10 PM 05 OCTOBER 2016.

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ABELA Cyclone 0f South Indian Ocean in Formation

Winter Phenomenon  

NEW UPDATE: 10.00 pm Sunday 17 JULY 2016

The Winter Season 2016 in the Southern Indian Ocean continues to blow cold winds generated by the influence of the Anti-Cyclone and to shower some light rains in Mauritius, Rodrigues and Reunion. The Joint Typhoon Warning Centre (JTWC) continues to indicate, since May 2016, the formation of the Low Pressure System (90 S INVEST) near the East North-East of Diego Garcia. This time the circumstances and chances for the evolution of a Tropical Cyclone seem to be better. The Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS) has named the Tropical Depression, at 3.15 pm on Sunday 17 July 2016, as Moderate Tropical Storm ABELA. So, at this conjecture, the name GOA is not valid. Refer to the explanations below.


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RODRIGUES ISLAND Lucky Escape from Unprecedented Thunderbolts

Whole Night of 30 April 2016

The Summer Season 2015-2016 is phasing out with Thunder, Lightning and Rain in the Southern Indian Ocean. Rodrigues Island experienced the Extreme Atmospheric Phenomenon of an unprecedented nature during the night of Saturday 30 April 2016. Although the Precipitations were moderate-to-average, the rumbling of Thunderbolts was rather frightening.

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Thunderbolts and Heavy Rain

Whole Night of 28 April 2016 in Mauritius

Loopholes of the Mauritius Meteorological Services


Thunder, Lightning and Rain have caused much panic in the population and authorities last night. In fact, tremendous thunder started rumbling as from 7.00 pm Thursday 28 April 2016, in the region of Port Louis. Flashes of large Lightning followed soon afterwards, as if the whole sky was ablaze.

The process began as from the North-West of Mauritius just above the Port Louis Mountain Range cruised towards the South-East. This was vivid while observing the sky as from that time, helped by the light illuminating everything on top and on the ground. Radar Images, as depicted on Météo-France-Reunion site, confirmed the meteors.

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FANTALA-Very Intense Tropical Cyclone: Record Breaker.

 Scientific Loopholes, But Best Prediction.


(You are requested to read PART ONE before Proceding Click Here)

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration/ Climate Prediction Center (NOAA/CPC) released its update on 05 April 2016, ‘Valid: 04.06.16 - 04.19.16:

'A fast moving intraseasonal signal, evident in the RMM MJO Index and the upper-level velocity potential field, remains active, with the enhanced phase currently over Africa and the far western Indian Ocean...

Statistical guidance such as the Constructed Analog model depict a much more robust Indian Ocean MJO event; however, these tools are not accounting for the current West Pacific convection.'Therefore, the MJO is anticipated to become increasingly incoherent during the next two weeks, and will not play a substantial role in the global tropical convective pattern.'  

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The Summer Season 2015-2016 seems to end gradually and with some transition until the entry of Winter. However, a High Waves Warning has been issued by the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS) at 4.00 pm on Thursday 07 April 2016 and valid until 5.00 pm Sunday 10 April 2016. Waves of more than 4 metres in height have been forecast to swirl in the Sea within and beyond the lagoons of the South and West of Mauritius.

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Phenomenal TWIN System and South-West Indian Ocean Monsoon


(Click here to read PART ONE)

Advent of Phenomenal TWIN SYSTEMS

The Torrential Rain and Cyclone DAYA were already a Tandem of TWIN System which influenced, disastrously, the Atmospheric Conditions mostly in the Mascarene Islands: Reunion, Mauritius and Rodrigues. Nevertheless, another System joined in the ‘party’. CYCLONE URIAH, named by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM), shifted in the Area of Responsibility (AOR) of the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS) as from Monday 15 February 2016. Rainy episodes continued, namely, with Port Louis 40 mm on that day and thereafter in the following days. The MMS continued to issue bulletins.


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