Saturday, 18 August 2018

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     Kilauea Hawaii       

   

World Met/Day-23 March 2018 ‘Weather Ready-Climate Smart

Thunderbolts Without Rain Winter Anti-Cyclone (26-30 April 2017)

Thunderstorms Approaching Mauritius, Rodrigues and Reunion (05-08) April 2017.

 

 

 ENAWO Intense Tropical Cyclone (03-08 March 2017)  South Indian Ocean-4th 100% Perfect PREDICTION.

   

      Watch MMS LIVE

 

 

 

 

CARLOS Tropical Cyclone

(04-07) February 2017- S-W Indian Ocean,

another 100% Perfect PREDICTION.

 

 

 

 

DINEO-Cyclone  Click Animation- 13 Feb. 2017 (courtesy: NOAA)

 

   

 

 

 

FLOOD STORM and Cyclone CARLOS- January 2017.

 

INNOVATION & UNIQUENESS of MADAGASCAR- Watch VIDEO

 

LUNAR Eclipse-Friday 16 Sep. 2016. 

 

 

''NASA Sees Hurricane Matthew'' . Click to watch LIVE from NOAA or Watch from NASA/GPM here 

 

 

 

 

 

 LIVE from UN 71st Session  Speech of Sir Anerod Jugnauth PM of Mauritius.

 

 

 

 

 

SUN Annular Eclipse from Central Atl/Ocean to SE Indian Ocean-01 September 2016. 

 

 

 

 

THUNDERBOLTS trigger Heavy Rainfalls in Mauritius and

Rodrigues (28-30) April 2016.

 

BAN KI-MOON 08-10 May 2016

   Mission in Mauritius.

 

 

Part of FANTALA VITC with METEOSAT 7 Video

 

 

Animation of CYCLONE FANTALA

      Live with NOAA.

 

 

 

 

 

Watch Video DAYA Cyclone and TORRENTIAL RAIN  10-13 February 2016: South-West Indian Ocean

 

 

 

 

WMO Video 23 March-World Meteorological Day 2016

 

 

  

 

HALO SUN and MOON Predicting FLOOD for MARCH 2016
Halo Sun and Moon March 2016

 

 

  

 

 Cyclone CORENTIN January 2016

explans the cyclon correntin

 

 

 

 

 Flood Storm 31 December 2015

Explains the prediction of flood storm of dec 2015

  

 

 

 

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EMERAUDE Moderate Tropical Storm 

 (See UPDATE 1 @ page 2)

Mauritius Meteorological Services located  abaout 1540 Km East South-East of Diego Garcia has been named today:

[ WEATHER NEWS FOR MAURITIUS ISSUED AT 05h00 THIS WEDNESDAY 16 MARCH 2016.

GENERAL SITUATION:

A.  A light, warm and moist airstream persists over our region.

B.  A tropical depression was evolving far to South-East of Diego Garcia.  It has intensified into a Moderate Tropical Storm and was named "EMERAUDE" by the Mauritius Meteorological Services.  At 04h00, it was centered in latitude 11.0 degrees South and longitude 85.7 degrees East.]

Check it out here and click for animation:   http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/international/irloop/24hr/atlind_irloop.html

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DAYA- 4th CYCLONE and TORRENTIAL RAIN-4th FLOOD STORM-

Phenomenal TWIN System and South-West Indian Ocean Monsoon

 (NB:This article is late because of the upgrading process of this Website.

Thank you for your cooperation)

 

BRIEF ASSESSMENT- PART ONE

DAYANamed10FEB2016The Summer Season 2015-2016 of the South Indian Ocean continues to prevail in a Phenomenal Mode. Heat, Humidity, Temperature, Cyclones and Precipitations persist. Moreover, Rains: Heavy-to-Torrential seem to be favoured to Cyclones. This is almost an established Pattern, at the same time this is indicating a Monsoon System in the South-West Indian Ocean. In addition, Twin Systems are also becoming Phenomenal, thereby arousing some uncertainties for Meteorologists, Forecasters and Scientists at local, regional and international levels. However, Cloud Observations from the ground and application of Traditional, Indigenous and Local Knowledge/Practices appear to cast more and better precision.

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CORENTIN 3RD CYCLONE AND 3RD FLOOD STORM -

PHENOMENAL FIRST TWIN SYSTEM OF SEASON 2015-2016

SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN

The Summer Season 2015-2016 for the South Indian Ocean is prevailing in almost the same pattern as from the start. Precipitations are favoured to Cyclones. International Institutions have given some indications regarding Rainfalls and Cyclone formations for the month of January 2016. Cloud Observations from the ground of Mauritius show that this New Year 2016 begins with a Phenomenal TWIN SYSTEM; i.e. 3rd CYCLONE and 3rd FLOOD STORM. This indicates that the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) continues to be the major cause for worldwide concern. The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is also contributing in the acceleration of Heat, Droughts, Humidity, Rains, and Cyclones in the Southern Hemisphere.

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2ND Flood Storm for Season 2015-2016 in 

South-West Indian Ocean-Phenomenal System

 


The Summer Season 2015-2016 is definitely prevailing in a different way in South Indian Ocean. Precipitations are favoured to Cyclones by Mother Nature, as mentioned in earlier articles. Heavy Rainfalls have been identified as from 22 December 2015, followed by probable Cyclone Formation, after Cloud Observations from the Ground. This complex Weather System affected mainly Reunion, Mauritius and Rodrigues Island during the last week of December 2015 and the first days of New Year 2016.  See pictures and Video below.

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 BOHALE Cyclone- Direct Threat to Rodrigues Island

And Lucky Escape

The Tropical Disturbance identified by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) since Monday 07 December 2015 has evolved rapidly. The Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS) has named it, after some hesitation, on Friday 11 December, following intensification, as BOHALE Moderate Tropical Cyclone. At the start, it seemed to be a direct and serious threat to Rodrigues Island. Cloud Observations from the Ground indicate that lots of Rains are associated with the System. NASA Satellite Images show the same pattern. See Scientific explanations together with Traditional, Indigenous and Local Knowledge regarding the second Cyclone of Season 2015-2016.

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Cyclone ANNABELLE- First of  Season 2015-2016

For South Indian Ocean

The Summer Season 2015-2016 for the South Indian Ocean appears to start with Tropical  Disturbances generating Precipitations rather than Cyclones. The first Heavy Rain, which  showered 188 mm in 24 hours in Rodrigues Island from 02 to 03 October 2015, occurred after a combination of the Remnants of a Low Pressure and the ITCZ. This Weather Condition was not within the forecasts of the Meteorological Services of Mauritius (MMS). The second Heavy Rain occurred in Mauritius 04-05 November 2015, after the Tropical Disturbance 92 S INVEST evolved as a Flood Storm. This was wrongly analysed by the MMS. As a result, the late Alert by the Ministry of Education caused lots of inconveniences to students and parents. The issue of uncertainties continues until now. However, ANNABELLE became the First Official Cyclone for the South Indian Ocean with all the characteristics of a Tropical Storm, given its rapid evolution as from 17 to 24 November 2015. Luckily, she did not make any landfall and has phased out towards the South Pole. See the explanations in light of Scientific and of Traditional Knowledge. WATCH VIDEO ALSO.

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FLOOD STORM (92 S INVEST) Phenomenon in South-West Indian Ocean Basin.

 Mother Nature did not give birth to neither a Cyclone  nor to a Tornado, as  mentioned on 28 October 2015,  regarding the formation of Tropical Disturbance 92 S  INVEST. However,  the last  Probability, out of the  three mentioned  above, has  turned out to be 100% true. The whole of the South- West Indian Ocean  Basin  underwent a  Phenomenal  Hydrologic Episode  or  Flood Storm during the first week of November  2015. The Scientific Predictions made partly by NOAA/CPC, NASA and by Cloud  Observations from ground level proved this occurrence.  Moreover, the impacts of this  Atmospheric System appeared Disastrous for some regions and the situation continues  until now.

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ANNABELLE- First Tropical Cyclone or Tornado

Or 92 S INVEST- First Flood Storm

for Season 2015-2016 

 

The Summer Season for the Southern Indian Ocean has started after the Equinox of 23 September 2015. According to the Mauritius Meteorological Services the Cyclonic Period begins officially as from 01 November until 15 May 2016. However, the Atmospheric conditions around Mauritius indicate that Cyclonic Systems are active earlier than usual. The Low Pressure identified by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) near the East of Seychelles Archipelago, appears to be either the First Cyclone or the First Tornado or the First Flood Event for Season 2015-2016 of the region. Moreover, there are two other Systems which are swirling in the Northern Hemisphere of the Indian Ocean.

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 HEAVY RAINFALLS IN RODRIGUES-

INCOMPETENCE OF METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

 AND OF DISASTER MANAGEMENT CENTRE

Friday 23 September marked the Equinox, meaning that days and nights are of same duration. It is, at the same time, the transition period from Summer to Winter for the Northern Hemisphere and also from Winter to Summer for the Southern Hemisphere. The Cyclonic Season for Southern Indian Ocean usually starts as from the month of 01 November until Mid-May according to the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS). Yet, this transition is starting with Heavy Rainfalls in the Mascarene Islands. Rodrigues Island is under Floods as from Friday 30 September until 04 Sunday September 2015 and this is likely to continue during a few more days.  All these indicate that the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is marking an early presence thereby causing havoc in terms of Climate, Weather and Hydrology for the oncoming Cyclonic Season 2015-2016.

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TROPICAL SYSTEMS FORM EARLIER FOR SUMMER SEASON 2015-2016

IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN

Tropical Systems-cyclones, floods, heavy rainfalls, heat waves and droughts seem to take birth prematurely in the Southern Indian Ocean. The Winter Season is still active, as the Equinox is calculated to take place on 23 September and the Summer Solstice is far ahead for 22 December 2015. The bands of active clouds, shown in the Imagery, have made a paradigm shift, since a few days, from the Northern Hemisphere towards the South through the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). These indications signal that the El Nino Phenomenon will have devastating impact just like the Northern Hemisphere has witnessed since 2015 and continues to do so.

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