Monday, 22 April 2019



23 MARCH 2019 WMD

LIVE UNGA 73rd Ses/2018 




  13-20 August 2018  

     Kilauea Hawaii     


World Met/Day-23 March 2018 ‘Weather Ready-Climate Smart

Thunderbolts Without Rain Winter Anti-Cyclone (26-30 April 2017)

Thunderstorms Approaching Mauritius, Rodrigues and Reunion (05-08) April 2017.



 ENAWO Intense Tropical Cyclone (03-08 March 2017)  South Indian Ocean-4th 100% Perfect PREDICTION.


      Watch MMS LIVE





CARLOS Tropical Cyclone

(04-07) February 2017- S-W Indian Ocean,

another 100% Perfect PREDICTION.





DINEO-Cyclone  Click Animation- 13 Feb. 2017 (courtesy: NOAA)






FLOOD STORM and Cyclone CARLOS- January 2017.




LUNAR Eclipse-Friday 16 Sep. 2016. 



''NASA Sees Hurricane Matthew'' . Click to watch LIVE from NOAA or Watch from NASA/GPM here 






 LIVE from UN 71st Session  Speech of Sir Anerod Jugnauth PM of Mauritius.






SUN Annular Eclipse from Central Atl/Ocean to SE Indian Ocean-01 September 2016. 





THUNDERBOLTS trigger Heavy Rainfalls in Mauritius and

Rodrigues (28-30) April 2016.


BAN KI-MOON 08-10 May 2016

   Mission in Mauritius.



Part of FANTALA VITC with METEOSAT 7 Video




      Live with NOAA.






Watch Video DAYA Cyclone and TORRENTIAL RAIN  10-13 February 2016: South-West Indian Ocean





WMO Video 23 March-World Meteorological Day 2016





HALO SUN and MOON Predicting FLOOD for MARCH 2016
Halo Sun and Moon March 2016





 Cyclone CORENTIN January 2016

explans the cyclon correntin





 Flood Storm 31 December 2015

Explains the prediction of flood storm of dec 2015







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The International Day for Disaster Reduction has been observed since 22 December 1989 on the second Wednesday of the month of October. The United Nations Organisation has proclaimed, in 2009, 13 October to be so. The theme of year 2015 is 'Knowledge for Life'. This event also indicates that innovative practices should be made because Planet Earth is undergoing unprecedented environmental and ecological degradation. Read more: 13 OCTOBER-DISASTER REDUCTION DAY.


12 May 2014 Marked the first forum at the UN for in favour of societies from all continents and islands:

'Indigenous peoples must be a part of the ongoing process to define a global development agenda beyond 2015, United Nations officials said today, calling for explicit assertion of their collective rights as well as the promotion of traditional knowledge to tackle issues such as climate change, as the UN Permanent Forum on Indigenous Issues opened its 2014 session.'

Others followed afterwards.


According to the United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (UNISDR) the "Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development' outcome document represents the culmination of efforts over the last three years to develop a successor to the Millennium Declaration (including the Millennium Development Goals), and includes 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and 169 global targets."

Moreover, this is also one of the outcomes of the Third UN World Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction and the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 which was held 14 to 18 March 2015 in Sendai, Miyagi, Japan.

The Goal of the Theme-'Knowledge for Life' for 13 October 2015 Day for Disaster Reduction is to:

1. Raise awareness of the use of traditional, indigenous and local knowledge and practices, to complement scientific knowledge in disaster risk management;
2. Highlight approaches for engaging local communities and indigenous peoples in     implementation of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction.

Paragragh 24 (i) of Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 published on 18 March 2015 reads as follows:

'Ensure the use of traditional, indigenous and local knowledge and practices, as appropriate, to complement scientific knowledge in disaster risk assessment and the development and implementation of policies, strategies, plans and programmes of specific sectors, with a cross-sectoral approach, which should be tailored to localities and to the context.’

Verify here.


Applications of Traditional, Indigenous and Local Knowledge

All these Traditional, Indigenous and Local Knowledge (TILK) differ from continent to continent, from country to country, from island to island, from region to region, from community to community, from individual to individual. These chapters of Knowledge are vast in nature and are identifiable from the Oceans, Lands and Atmosphere. They exist in almost all walks of life sectors-agriculture, fishing, farming, medicine, herbs/plants, clouds, cyclones, droughts, tsunamis, tides, earthquakes, rivers, lakes, mountains, valleys, forests, rural and urban areas, maritime and aerial navigation, etc.

By applying Traditional, Indigenous and Local Knowledge the process of Resilience of individuals and of societies is perfectly possible.

UNISDR states an example: ‘knowledge of early warning signals in nature can be vital to ensuring early action is taken to mitigate the impact of both slow and fast onset disasters such as droughts, heatwaves, storms and floods. Combined with scientific knowledge such as reports generated by meteorologists, local knowledge is vital for preparedness and can be passed on from generation to generation. New knowledge and coping strategies are being generated all the time as communities in hazard prone locations work out new ways and means to adapt to disaster and climate risk.’


Sensitizing World Meteorological Organisation’s Actions

It is noteworthy that I have been sensitizing the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) and the African Ministerial Committee on Meteorology (AMCOMET) since more than a year that Traditional and Indigenous Knowledge should be adopted in order to complement Scientific Knowledge. This has been recognized by them.

Read more: Tropical Systems Form Earlier For Summer Season 2015-2016 In Southern Indian Ocean and 

Heavy Rainfalls in Rodrigues-Incompetence of the Mauritius Meteorological Services and Disaster Management Centre

I have also been sensitizing, repetitively, the WMO/AMCOMET, the Meteorological Services and the World Scientific Community to adopt Cloud Observations from the ground to identify Hazards, as they constitute 'Life-Saving Tools'. This too has been accepted. In fact, WMO mentioned in its press release of 11 June 2015, that it is on the way to revising the Cloud Atlas Volume 1 and 11. Moreover, competition on Cloud Photography has also been launched. WMO mentioned in its website on 01 October 2015- WMO Calls for New Images for International Cloud Atlas:

The World Meteorological Organization is calling for the submission of high quality photographs of clouds to feature as “reference images” in the next edition of the International Cloud Atlas.’ This operated by the Hong Kong Observatory on behalf of WMO.

That is why I have been showing photographs of Clouds in most of my Website articles. Videos will be also available soon.

Clouds are tracked by Satellites- both Geostationary and Polar Orbiting ones. Sophisticated sensors, radars, cameras, instruments, tools and devices are used by Satellite Scientists and Researchers who decode, interpret, encode and disseminate data and information for the Safety and Protection of Mankind worldwide.

Clouds carry lots of information which can also be decoded, interpreted, encoded and disseminated by applying Traditional, Indigenous and Local Knowledge. These are valuable resources which are ‘Life-Saving Tools’. This concept has also been recognized by WMO/AMCOMET.

Approaching cyclones, rains, floods, tornadoes, hailstones, droughts, heat waves, tsunamis can be perfectly Alerted as Early Warning Systems. The complexion of the sky, behaviour of flies, insects, ants, termites, frogs, bees, animals and plants indicate the approach of Disasters and Hazards both Natural and Man-Made.

By making constant observations of all these, allows you to build Disaster Resilience of your own and also of that of your community. So, life can be saved without the intervention of the authorities which may be often too late.

The degree of TIL Knowledge varies from individuals to communities and societies. Lifetime experience is important for good forecasts. So, disasters can be identified at short, medium and long terms, that is, minimum 3 days to a fortnight depending on the nature of the Catastrophes.

In exceptional cases, forecasts on three months or more can also be done. The Prediction which I made in October 2006 wherein I stated that Disastrous Cyclones like Gervaise (1975), or Hollanda (1994) or Kalunde (2002) will not visit Mauritius between 2007 and 2012, except a few weak ones, is a Masterpiece, among a few others, including Man-Made Disasters/Events. See here.

Clouds tracking is an Activity of Traditional, Indigenous and Local Knowledge

The Cloud Photographs below have been captured before cyclonic or heavy rainy days: Impact of Cyclone GUITO (19-21 February 2014) which was in the West of Madagascar, Torrential Rain Warning in Rodrigues Island (14 March 2014) and formation of Tropical Depression 02 S/ 97 S INVEST (22-30 November 2014) which was not named by the Meteorological Services of Mauritius. Click pictures to enlarge.


The most recent case is when Rodrigues Island (500 km East of Mauritius) was showered by 188 mm of rain 02-03 October 2015. The Meteorological Services of Mauritius, unfortunately, issued a Heavy Rain Warning after the 24 hours of Precipitations. Clouds Observations made between 1.00 to 6.00 pm on 29 September, before the Heavy Rain have proved to be perfect for the Early Warning Systems. It is a vivid example illustrating that while activating TILK experience and perseverance you can have an edge over the Scientific World.

The Climate Prediction Center of NOAA/US did not forecast any Rainfall in the South West Indian Ocean for periods 23 September to 13 October 2015. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center identified a Low Pressure System on 28 September, but stated that the System dissipated on 29 September. Whereas, consistent observations of the sky from the ground during 28-30 September indicated that Cyclonic Weather System persisted. In fact, it is the remnant Rain Clouds of the Low Pressure associated with those found in the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) caused the 188 mm Precipitations in Rodrigues. See below. The Rain Clouds were moving from the region of Rodrigues (South-East) towards Mauritius.










 Read more:Heavy Rainfalls in Rodrigues-Incompetence of the Mauritius Meteorological Services and Disaster Management Centre

So, this shows that TIL Knowledge enhances forecasts and can even avail of an edge over Scientific Forecasts. The Meteorological Services, Scientists and Researchers of all countries are therefore requested to adopt Traditional, Indigenous and Local Knowledge, as they are complementary and are also Life-Saving Tools’.


Australia, New Zealand, United Kingdom, Météo-France are a few member states of the WMO which are encouraging local people in tracking Clouds and other Phenomena and are developing Weather Skills for the youth. They are very active in Facebook and Twitter social media. The Meteorological Services of Mauritius are still lingering backwards. They are continuing to use a rusted dumb bell to activate Early Warning Systems. That is why I suggested to the Fact Finding Committee (FFC)of 2008, amongst others, that the MMS should be reformed totally:

The offices, besides being better equipped, should be housed in tall buildings built like a Tower similar to the Control Tower of the airport. The sky should be visible with natural air and light penetrating inside the buildings. This would help much to the technicians in complementing Scientific Technology and TRADITIONAL KNOWLEDGE.’

It is to be noted that the World Meteorological Day 23 March 2015, whose theme was 'Climate Knowledge for Climate Action', was not observed by the MMS and by the Disaster Management Centre. CHECK HERE.

I reiterated the same suggestions given to the FFC to the Policy Makers through my Precious Document of 28 MAY 2011. That was the innovation which I proposed.  

The Policy Makers of Mauritius are not at all attuned neither to modern Scientific Technology nor to TIL Knowledge. There are no indigenous people in this country. Human settlements existed temporarily during the Dutch Colonisations (1638-1658) and (1664-1710). The Mauritian Society was built as from 1722 during the French Occupation (1715-1810) and consolidated by the British (1810-1968). Yet, I claim that, apart from Traditional Knowledge, there is the existence of Indigenous Knowledge which is in the form of Local Practices/Knowledge. This is another Innovation which I am carrying on my ‘Cheval de Bataille’.

The newly appointed President of Republic, Dr. Ameenah Gurib-Fakim, is a Scientist and also a Professional Researcher in Traditional and Herbal Medicine. She has recognition as such at local, regional and international levels. I have already submitted two interesting documents to her last month and am expecting support from her.

CLICK HERE TO WATCH HER at  TV 5 MONDE on 14 October 2015.


Religious institutions should also adopt TIL Knowledge in the process of building a Disaster Resilient Society. Mother Nature always transmits signals which are not only identified by Science and Technology, but should also be captured by Scientists of Nature, through TILK. All credit goes to the UN and its organs-WMO, UNISDR, UNFCC, UNESCO, etc. for recognising the Rights of Indigenous people. That’s Excellent Innovation which is supportive to ‘Knowledge for Life’, and also allows building a Safer World.

NB: I am currently building a CLOUD ATLAS for the South-West Indian Ocean.


Observance of IDDR theme at local level

The Mauritius Broadcasting Corporation announced in the evening news that the Ministry of Environment and Agence Française de Développement (AFD) organized a workshop today 13 October on the theme:  ‘Promote Culture for Self-Reliance’. Minister Dayal stated that all people are requested to share their ‘Ancestral Tradition’. It is noteworthy that the theme of the IDDR seems to be distorted or limited by such statement, contrary to its wider perspective. Yet, he participated to the Sendai Conference mentioned above. Moreover, the different themes of previous years have never been put into practice, neither by the Policy Makers, nor by the Meteorological Services, nor by the Disaster Management Centre. In fact, AFD was there to finance 50 M EUROS for some projects.

The local media appears not to be attuned to the Observance of 13 October. One private radio station invited a live talk today (5-6.00 pm) by one Mr. S.D who was former policy maker during the last decade. He was also advisor of the ex-Prime Minister in matters regarding Sustainable Development. I am sure that he was going through the dozens of documents, letters, emails which I was sending to the then PM. He never reacted to my requests or alerts on Climate and Weather issues. He did not at all mention Disaster Reduction Day. He stated that he intends to work to save the Planet, now that he is in contract with an international organization GP and will participate at the COP21 in Paris. In fact, he was trying to publicize himself, as he was on holidays. Why did he not understand the Early Warnings which I was ringing on the Torrential Rain of 13 February 2013 and of the Deadly Flash Flood of 30 March 2013? The role of the media is still paparazzi and sensationalism.

Whereas, I promoted the theme 2012: Women and Girls: the [in]Visible Force of Resilience during my campaign in Rodrigues Island 20-26 October 2012.

The themes of the International Day for Disaster Reduction for the last ten years are as follows:

2014: Resilience is for Life

2013: Living with Disability and Disasters

2012: Women and Girls

2011: Making Children and Young People Partners for Disaster Risk Reduction

2010: My City is Getting Ready!

2009: Hospitals Safe from Disasters

2008: Disaster risk reduction is everybody's business

2007: Challenging the world's education authorities

2006: Disaster risk reduction begins at school

Former SG UN-KOFI ANAN said on 11 October 2006

[Children are especially vulnerable to the threats posed by natural hazards. At the same time, they can be powerful agents of change, provided they are well armed with knowledge about how to prepare in advance, how to act on warnings and how to reduce risk at home and in their communities. It is essential, therefore, to make disaster risk education a component of national school curricula, and to ensure that children understand how natural hazards interact with the environment. Young people should also be included in community risk-mapping exercises, and have opportunities to share experiences and best practices with others, including their peers. School buildings themselves should be fortified, so that they can better withstand the forces of nature.]

Keep Watch for the Cyclone Season 2015-2016 for more Innovation.

P.KANHYE                                       11.00 pm TUESDAY 13 OCTOBER 2015.




                       Heavy Rainfalls in Rodrigues-Incompetence of the Mauritius Meteorological Services and Disaster Management


                      Tropical Systems Form Earlier For Summer Season 2015-2016 In Southern Indian Ocean;


                      Fact Finding Committee 2008 and others. 






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