Sunday, 20 October 2019

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 Ag. Pres. of MAURITIUS

P.P. Vyapoory- UNGA 74th

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PM MODI SPEAKING

UNGA 74th SESSION

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GRETA THUNBERG

UN  Climate Activist

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 CHANDRAYAAN 2 

Source/Courtesy: ISRO

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 Late Mrs SUSHMA SWARAJ

 

23 MARCH 2019 WMD

LIVE UNGA 73rd Ses/2018 

 

Watch LIVE ICJ CHAGOS Rights & DECOLONIZATION

 KERALA FLOODS

  13-20 August 2018  

     Kilauea Hawaii     

   

World Met/Day-23 March 2018 ‘Weather Ready-Climate Smart

Thunderbolts Without Rain Winter Anti-Cyclone (26-30 April 2017)

Thunderstorms Approaching Mauritius, Rodrigues and Reunion (05-08) April 2017.

 

 

ENAWO Intense Tropical Cyclone (03-08 March 2017)  South Indian Ocean-4th 100% Perfect PREDICTION.

   

      Watch MMS LIVE

 

 

 

 

CARLOS Tropical Cyclone

(04-07) February 2017-

Another 100% Perfect PREDICTION.

 

 

 

 

DINEO-Cyclone  Click Animation- 13 Feb. 2017 (courtesy: NOAA)

 

   

  

 FLOOD STORM and Cyclone CARLOS- January 2017.

INNOVATION & UNIQUENESS of MADAGASCAR- Watch VIDEO

LUNAR Eclipse-Friday 16 Sep. 2016. 

 

 

''NASA Sees Hurricane Matthew'' . Click to watch LIVE from NOAA or Watch from NASA/GPM here 

 

 

 

 

 LIVE from UN 71st Session  Speech of Sir Anerod Jugnauth PM of Mauritius.

 

SUN Annular Eclipse from Central Atl/Ocean to SE Indian Ocean-01 September 2016. 

 

 

THUNDERBOLTS trigger Heavy Rainfalls in Mauritius and

Rodrigues (28-30) April 2016.

 

BAN KI-MOON 08-10 May 2016

   Mission in Mauritius.

 

Part of FANTALA VITC with METEOSAT 7 Video

 

Animation of CYCLONE FANTALA

      Live with NOAA.

 

 Watch Video DAYA Cyclone and TORRENTIAL RAIN  10-13 February 2016: South-West Indian Ocean

 

WMO Video 23 March-World Meteorological Day 2016

  

HALO SUN and MOON Predicting FLOOD for MARCH 2016
Halo Sun and Moon March 2016

 

 

  

  Cyclone CORENTIN January 2016

explans the cyclon correntin

 

 

 

  Flood Storm 31 December 2015

Explains the prediction of flood storm of dec 2015

  

 

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BANSI SECOND TROPICAL CYCLONE OF SEASON 2014-2015 FOR SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN

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BANSI SECOND CYCLONE OF SEASON 2014-2015 FOR

SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN

The Cyclone Season of the South Indian Ocean is becoming dynamic gradually. ADJALI (16-20 November 2014), the first cyclone, formed and evolved rapidly until dissolution along the track of the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). 97 S INVEST, which is potentially the second cyclone ‘BANSI’ is also in formation since 22 November 2014 along Longitude 8.80 South and 72.40 East in the zone South-West of Diego Garcia. Refer to articleADJALI FIRST TROPICAL CYCLONE OF SEASON 2014-2015 FOR SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN.

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) /US located the existence of a Low Pressure System on Sunday 22 November 2014, mentioning a Low Potentiality of formation of a Tropical Cyclone. On Tuesday 25 November, the System moved to 10.40 South and 69.40 East, that is about 400 km South-West of Diego Garcia and JTWC has upgraded it to be of Medium Potentiality to become, eventually, a Tropical Cyclone. As such the 97 S INVEST may be named, in the following days, by the Meteorological Services of Mauritius or of Madagascar as Tropical Storm BANSI-the second for Season 2014-2015.

NASA TRMM Satellite Imagery shows that the System-97 S INVEST has an elongated form
with 40-50 kph Wind Force at the center, but higher in the eastern quadrant. The other Image depicts that the mass of clouds around the cyclonic system are carrying 150 to 200 mm per hour of Precipitations. Moreover, although the system is not yet organised the Atmospheric Pressure at the centre is around 1002 hectopascals, according to JTWC.

According to Météo-France-Réunion the position on 26 November is at 11.70 S and 68.90 E with 998 hectopascals, as the Atmospheric Pressure. All these explain that 97 S INVEST is a potential Tropical Cyclone which is intensifying gradually. Click here to watch live.

OBSERVATIONS

The Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) is more vigorous as from mid-November this year, with humidity varying 40-86% and temperature reaching 330 Celsius. The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is forecast by NOAA/CPC/NWS that ‘a confluence of other modes of variability, which many times leads to and compliment a robust MJO signal’

The South East Trade Wind (SETW) is blowing warm winds at 12-17 kph. The Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) is rather mild.

 

In contrast to the outlook of the atmosphere around Mauritius during
Cyclone ADJALI, this time Heat is persisting day and night. Large and thick Cumulus Clouds (including some from high altitude) are moving continuously from the East-South-East. All these indicate that BANSI is a banker. See pictures.

                             PREDICTIONS

The combination of all these weather systems will have a significant impact on the potential ‘Cyclone BANSI. As it is not yet organised, the bands of clouds all-round the system will be stripped off reducing the existing large and elongated form. In such conjecture, the system becomes stagnant and ventures to be more organised and eventually to intensify. If this will be the case, it is highly likely to move almost on the same track like its predecessor ADJALI. As ‘BANSI’ appears to be slow in movement and in intensification, it will be fed by the masses of clouds coming from the ITCZ. Precipitations of higher rate, than those of ADJALI, are forecast to shower Rodrigues, St. Brandon, Agalega, Reunion and especially Mauritius by the week-end. However, most of the rains are likely to occur in the open Indian Ocean. Average rain (30-50 mm or more) will shower Mauritius. However, shortage of water will continue to persist.

NB: Heavy Rainfalls occurred last year as from 23 November to 03 December 2013, reaching maximum of 103.2 mm at Pailles and 101.4 mm at Mare aux Vacoas. Read more article: WEATHER FORECAST FOR MAURITIUS-NOVEMBER 2013.    

Keep watch for updates.

Read more: ADJALI FIRST TROPICAL CYCLONE OF SEASON 2014-2015 FOR SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN;

                   WEATHER FORECAST FOR MAURITIUS-NOVEMBER 2013;

                   RAINFALL AND CYCLONE PATTERNS and others;

                    CYCLONE NAMES FOR SEASON 2014-2015 SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN and others.

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P.KANHYE                            3.00 pm WEDNESDAY 26 NOVEMBER 2014.  

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