Sunday, 20 October 2019

WATCH ALL VIDEOS HERE

           

 Ag. Pres. of MAURITIUS

P.P. Vyapoory- UNGA 74th

AgPresident-Vyapoori-MAURITIUS-27SEPT2019.jpg - 59.32 kB

 

PM MODI SPEAKING

UNGA 74th SESSION

 UNGA-74th-PM-MODI-27SEPT2019.jpg - 64.25 kB

GRETA THUNBERG

UN  Climate Activist

UN-GRETA_THUMBERG-Climate_Activist-23SEPT2019.jpg - 96.07 kB

 

 CHANDRAYAAN 2 

Source/Courtesy: ISRO

ISRO-CHANDRAYAAN-2-06SEP2019.jpg - 38.96 kB

 

 

 

 Late Mrs SUSHMA SWARAJ

 

23 MARCH 2019 WMD

LIVE UNGA 73rd Ses/2018 

 

Watch LIVE ICJ CHAGOS Rights & DECOLONIZATION

 KERALA FLOODS

  13-20 August 2018  

     Kilauea Hawaii     

   

World Met/Day-23 March 2018 ‘Weather Ready-Climate Smart

Thunderbolts Without Rain Winter Anti-Cyclone (26-30 April 2017)

Thunderstorms Approaching Mauritius, Rodrigues and Reunion (05-08) April 2017.

 

 

ENAWO Intense Tropical Cyclone (03-08 March 2017)  South Indian Ocean-4th 100% Perfect PREDICTION.

   

      Watch MMS LIVE

 

 

 

 

CARLOS Tropical Cyclone

(04-07) February 2017-

Another 100% Perfect PREDICTION.

 

 

 

 

DINEO-Cyclone  Click Animation- 13 Feb. 2017 (courtesy: NOAA)

 

   

  

 FLOOD STORM and Cyclone CARLOS- January 2017.

INNOVATION & UNIQUENESS of MADAGASCAR- Watch VIDEO

LUNAR Eclipse-Friday 16 Sep. 2016. 

 

 

''NASA Sees Hurricane Matthew'' . Click to watch LIVE from NOAA or Watch from NASA/GPM here 

 

 

 

 

 LIVE from UN 71st Session  Speech of Sir Anerod Jugnauth PM of Mauritius.

 

SUN Annular Eclipse from Central Atl/Ocean to SE Indian Ocean-01 September 2016. 

 

 

THUNDERBOLTS trigger Heavy Rainfalls in Mauritius and

Rodrigues (28-30) April 2016.

 

BAN KI-MOON 08-10 May 2016

   Mission in Mauritius.

 

Part of FANTALA VITC with METEOSAT 7 Video

 

Animation of CYCLONE FANTALA

      Live with NOAA.

 

 Watch Video DAYA Cyclone and TORRENTIAL RAIN  10-13 February 2016: South-West Indian Ocean

 

WMO Video 23 March-World Meteorological Day 2016

  

HALO SUN and MOON Predicting FLOOD for MARCH 2016
Halo Sun and Moon March 2016

 

 

  

  Cyclone CORENTIN January 2016

explans the cyclon correntin

 

 

 

  Flood Storm 31 December 2015

Explains the prediction of flood storm of dec 2015

  

 

  CLICK HERE TO WATCH

     ALL VIDEOS 

GLENDA 10th Cyclone of Season 2014-2015 for South Indian Ocean

Star InactiveStar InactiveStar InactiveStar InactiveStar Inactive
 

Article Index

 

GLENDA 10TH Tropical Cyclone in Formation for Season 2014-2015

The Summer Season 2014-2015 of Southern Hemisphere of the Indian Ocean continues to be very dynamic with Cyclones, Heavy Rainfalls and Floods. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) identified Tropical Disturbance 90 S INVEST on Sunday 22 February at the South South-West of Diego Garcia and has forecast it to intensify rapidly. At this conjuncture and given that this Cyclonic System is located in the Area of Responsibility (AOR) of Mauritius, the Meteorological Services of Vacoas will no doubt name it as GLENDA soon.

 

 
 
[ABIO10 PGTW 221800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/221800Z-23 1800Z FEB 2015...

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.2S 77.1E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.2S 75.4E, APPROXIMATELY 385 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA…DYNAMIC GUIDANCE INDICATES IMPROVING POLEWARD OUTFLOW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS,WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. ALONG-TRACK SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE IS ALSO FAVORABLE AT 29 TO 30 CELSIUS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REMAINS HIGH.] Refer to the Forecast Track drawn by JTWC.

According to the Naval Research Laboratory (NRL), the Tropical Depression 90 S INVEST is carrying lots of Rain mainly at its centre and in the northern and southern quadrants. It appears that the System is not well organized for the time being. It is highly likely to intensify soon, as the Sea Surface Temperature is 29-300 Celsius and the Atmospheric Pressure is 1002 Hpa.

Méteo-France-Réunion, which is the Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) for the South West Indian Ocean, has already given its advisories yesterday 22 February 2015. According to it, the Tropical Disturbance will evolve into Moderate to a Tropical Cyclone by 27 February.

[Bulletin du 23 février à 16H26 locales:

Il n'y a pas d'alerte en cours à La Réunion, et aucune menace cyclonique n'est envisagée pour les prochaines 72 heures.

Nature du système dépressionnaire tropical présent sur le Sud-Ouest de l'Océan Indien.

PERTURBATION TROPICALE 10-20142015.

Pression estimée au centre: 1001 HPA.

Position le 23 février à 16 heures locales: 14.6 Sud / 74.6 Est.

Distance des côtes réunionnaises : 2105 km au secteur: EST-NORD-EST.

Déplacement: SUD-OUEST, à 13 km/h.

Voici les intensités et positions prévues de ce système dépressionnaire au cours des prochains jours:

DEPRESSION TROPICALE,

Centre positionné le 24/02 à 16h locales, par 16.9 Sud / 71.7 Est.

TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE,

Centre positionné le 25/02 à 16h locales, par 18.8 Sud / 68.7 Est

FORTE TEMPETE TROPICALE,

Centre positionné le 26/02 à 16h locales, par 21.3 Sud / 66.9 Est.

CYCLONE TROPICAL,

Centre positionné le 27/02 à 16h locales, par 24.3 Sud / 66.4 Est.

DEPRESSION POST-TROPICALE,

Centre positionné le 28/02 à 16h locales, par 28.1 Sud / 67.7 Est.]

[Bulletin du 24 février à 04H26 locales:

Pression estimée au centre: 999 HPA.

Position le 24 février à 04 heures locales: 16.7 Sud / 72.6 Est.] Check here.

The Atmosphere in the South West Indian Ocean is currently conducive to the formation and evolution of Cyclones, Heavy Rainfalls and localized Flash Floods. Humidity between 59 and 94% and persistent Heat reaching over 330 Celsius at Capital Port Louis is felt frequently accompanied by Thunder, Lightning and Rain. Continual Heavy Rainfall reaching maximum of 95.4 mm at Nouvelle Découverte on Saturday 21 February conclude the dynamism of this Summer Season. Moreover, Reunion Island has been under the same Atmospheric Conditions: Petite France-63.4 mm and Plaine des Palmistes-60.6 mm on 20 February.

   

 Early Warning Systems in Mauritius

The Early Warning Systems of Mauritius are still dormant and reactive. The Meteorological Services alerted the public in a special communique on Friday 20 February:

[Special Weather Bulletin issued at 16h30 valid until 17h00 tomorrow Saturday 21 February 2015.

Active clouds which are crossing our region from the West are causing moderate to heavy showers
at times with thunderstorms over the whole island
.]

Catastrophically, this warning was removed around 11.00 am on Saturday. Whole Mauritius was under the stress of Vigorous Thunder, Lightning and Heavy Rainfalls between 4-6 pm:  Nouvelle Decouverte-95.4 mm; Port Louis- 79.2 mm; Le Morne-76 mm; Queen Victoria-61.1 mm; Moka-59.8 mm; Mon Loisir-51.2 mm and Albion 50.4 mm. Many families saw their houses flooded. Click here to verify live.

The Disaster Management Centre –‘Ghost-like’ reacted after the Weather Conditions. It did not sensitize the population as from the beginning of the episode of continual Rainfalls. As a result: one motorcyclist was dead in the slippery road at Quartier Militaire , a car fell in the ditch along the Motorway, a bus speeding on slippery road at Mon Gout overturned killing the receiver and injuring 9, a young boy drowned in a river at St.Pierre.

 

 

There are lots of non-existence of drainage systems especially in the risk zones. Rain water seems to flow outside the rivers or along the roads instead of roadside canals. Residential buildings are at the threats of absence of drainage infrastructures. Landslides occurred after Cyclone BANSI damaging houses, school, roads and other buildings found in Vallée des Prêtres and in other localities.

It is equally noteworthy that a workshop on Early Warning Systems (EWS) was organized after the episode of phenomenal Cyclone BANSI, but I was not informed or invited despite I submitted a document to the government and ministries.

Predictions

If 90 S INVEST intensifies and is named as GLENDA, it is highly likely to track towards the South South-West and move Southwards and South-Eastwards by the next 3-6 days. See forecast track on top. In such a trajectory, GLENDA will influence rather Rodrigues Island with High Ocean Waves, Strong Winds, Heavy Rainfalls and Floods. Note that Rodrigues is already under the unprecedented stress of oil spills following a series of explosions yesterday at the petrol and gas station located near the Harbour of Port Mathurin. So, GLENDA may complicate the situation considerably.

Poor Meteorological Services of Mauritius has not yet named this 90 S INVEST and/or drawn any Forecast Track.

OBSERVATIONS

  1. It is worthwhile to note that the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) is very
     active this Season. In addition, the El Nino is on the alert and its impact has been disastrous for Australia. Severe Tropical Cyclone LAM (18-21 February 2015) of Category 3 formed and intensified rapidly in the North of Australia- ‘VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts to 220 kilometres per hour may occur near the cyclone centre …VERY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE as the cyclone centre approaches the coast on Thursday night and into Friday. Tides will rise significantly above the normal high tide, with DAMAGING WAVES and VERY DANGEROUS FLOODING. HEAVY RAIN may cause flooding of low-lying areas in the northeast Top End on Thursday and Friday.’...Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM).
  2. Very Intense Cyclone MARCIA (19-21 February 2015) ‘The VERY DESTRUCTIVE CORE of severe tropical cyclone Marcia, with gusts to 260 km/h, is expected to cross the coast between St Lawrence and Gladstone early on Friday morning…Abnormally high tides will be experienced today and Friday with water levels expected to rise above the highest tide of the year on the high tide.’… BOM.
  3. The African Ministerial Conference on Meteorology/ World Meteorological Organisation (AMCOMET/WMO)-3 held a conference in Praia, Cape Verde on 13-14 February 2015 wherein “Ministers endorsed plans for a new Regional Climate Centre (RCC) for Central Africa to consolidate research and forecasting capabilities for this sub-region in line with similar existing centres in eastern, southern, west and north Africa.” This is a very laudable project for the Members of Region 1 of WMO, especially with Frequent and Intense Weather Conditions prevailing in Sub-Saharan Africa-Malawi, Mozambique Madagascar mainly. I am preparing a document, with various suggestions, to be submitted to AMCOMET/WMO in view of supporting this new centre. Click here to check.

KEEP WATCH for updates.

 

P.KANHYE.                                 12.00 hrs TUESDAY 24 FEBRUARY 2015.

 

Add comment

Kindly, make your comments related to the topic. Any comment which is irrelevant, illicit, unlawful, immoral,sexual contents or pertaining to hatred to any person in terms of race, colour, sex, religion, opinion or any sort of discrimination will not be allowed and will be subject to prosecution. Marketing and/or advertisement are not permitted.

Security code
Refresh

To regularly receive information from me, please, register your real name and E-mail address. Fictitious ones will be rejected. Marketing & advertisements are not allowed. Thank you.

We have 175 guests and no members online