Thursday, 20 September 2018

WATCH ALL VIDEOS HERE   

         

Watch LIVE ICJ CHAGOS Rights & DECOLONIZATION

 KERALA FLOODS

  13-20 August 2018  

     Kilauea Hawaii     

   

World Met/Day-23 March 2018 ‘Weather Ready-Climate Smart

Thunderbolts Without Rain Winter Anti-Cyclone (26-30 April 2017)

Thunderstorms Approaching Mauritius, Rodrigues and Reunion (05-08) April 2017.

 

 

 ENAWO Intense Tropical Cyclone (03-08 March 2017)  South Indian Ocean-4th 100% Perfect PREDICTION.

   

      Watch MMS LIVE

 

 

 

 

CARLOS Tropical Cyclone

(04-07) February 2017- S-W Indian Ocean,

another 100% Perfect PREDICTION.

 

 

 

 

DINEO-Cyclone  Click Animation- 13 Feb. 2017 (courtesy: NOAA)

 

   

 

 

 

FLOOD STORM and Cyclone CARLOS- January 2017.

 

INNOVATION & UNIQUENESS of MADAGASCAR- Watch VIDEO

 

LUNAR Eclipse-Friday 16 Sep. 2016. 

 

 

''NASA Sees Hurricane Matthew'' . Click to watch LIVE from NOAA or Watch from NASA/GPM here 

 

 

 

 

 

 LIVE from UN 71st Session  Speech of Sir Anerod Jugnauth PM of Mauritius.

 

 

 

 

 

SUN Annular Eclipse from Central Atl/Ocean to SE Indian Ocean-01 September 2016. 

 

 

 

 

THUNDERBOLTS trigger Heavy Rainfalls in Mauritius and

Rodrigues (28-30) April 2016.

 

BAN KI-MOON 08-10 May 2016

   Mission in Mauritius.

 

 

Part of FANTALA VITC with METEOSAT 7 Video

 

 

Animation of CYCLONE FANTALA

      Live with NOAA.

 

 

 

 

 

Watch Video DAYA Cyclone and TORRENTIAL RAIN  10-13 February 2016: South-West Indian Ocean

 

 

 

 

WMO Video 23 March-World Meteorological Day 2016

 

 

  

 

HALO SUN and MOON Predicting FLOOD for MARCH 2016
Halo Sun and Moon March 2016

 

 

  

 

 Cyclone CORENTIN January 2016

explans the cyclon correntin

 

 

 

 

 Flood Storm 31 December 2015

Explains the prediction of flood storm of dec 2015

  

 

 

 

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Climate & Weather

South-West Indian Ocean Monsoon System-Torrential Rain-Another Perfect Prediction

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South-West Indian Ocean Monsoon System-

Earlier, Enhanced and Elongated-

Torrential Rain-Another Perfect Prediction

(Final update after 15 May 2018)

Mention has been made in the ‘Weather and Summer Season 2017-2018’: “The Weather Systems, forming and evolving in the Southern Indian Ocean Basin, have undergone significant changes. The Patterns of previous years do not seem to be consistent. Meteorologists, Forecasters and Scientists are obliged to do their homework competently.”

Furthermore, the Southern Hemisphere of the Indian Ocean appears, no doubt, to develop some particular Dynamism in terms of Cyclones and Rainfalls. The Dynamics of Climate, Weather and Hydrology are crystal clear during the Summer Season 2017-2018. A series of Cyclones: AVAIRVINBERGUITTA and a trail of Precipitations in Madagascar, Reunion, Comoros, Mayotte, Rodrigues and Mauritius have evolved since New Year 2018. All these Weather Events have caused lots of Disasters in the respective Islands. They also prove that the South-West Indian Ocean Monsoon System (SWIOMS) is, too, Active and is prevailing in an Enhanced Phase. Besides, it has made an onset Earlier than other seasons. It also seems to have an Elongated lifespan, as its ‘peak is still ahead’, as mentioned in the last article: 'Tropical Disturbance 99S INVEST-Mozambique Channel'  

BERGUITTA Intense Tropical Cyclone- Tracking Along East of Mauritius-Another 100% Perfect Prediction.

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BERGUITTA Intense Tropical Cyclone-

Tracking Along East of Mauritius-

Another 100% Perfect Prediction

 (Pl, Wait, for ASSESSMENT Report soon)

BERGUITTA Intense Tropical Cyclone is the third System of Summer Season 2017-18 of South Indian Ocean, after AVA and IRVIN. As a Moderate Tropical Storm, it threatened Rodrigues Island 13-15 January 2018. However, BERGUITTA showered graciously (52-110 mm) the drought-stricken island, as 100% Perfectly Predicted since 09 January. It is also a Phenomenon which has formed according to a change in Weather Pattern of this zone. It is highly likely to cruise along the landmass of Mauritius as from Wednesday 17 January. The Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS) has issued, at 4.30 pm Monday 15 January, Cyclone Warning Class I for Mauritius, after waiving Class III for Rodrigues. The Impacts are forecast to cause lots of material damages as Mauritius has been soaked by Heavy Rains since the New Year 2018. Besides, the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) is very Robust since a few days. BERGUITTA being a ‘Small-Size-System’ will, no doubt, move as from Wednesday 17 January, according to the tremendous and enhanced phase of the ACC-World Most Powerful Wind. It is Predicted to pass near the closest point at Trou-D’Eau-Douce in the East of MauritiusReunion Island too is under its ‘agenda’. DOOMSDAY?

PKANHYE.                10.11 pm MONDAY 15 JANUARY 2018.

99S INVEST (CEBILE Failed to Form) in Mozambique Channel

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99S INVEST (CEBILE Failed to Form) in Mozambique Channel

Weather in the Southern Hemisphere of Season 2017-2018 continues to evolve in different pattern and in a very dynamic way, as mentioned in previous articles. Rainfalls and Cyclonic Systems are already causing disasters in this zone. After Tropical Cyclone AVA made landfall in Madagascar 03-05 January 2018, Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA threatened Rodrigues Island 13-15 January. Cyclone IRVIN (06-08 January 2018), luckily, tracked in the open Southern Indian Ocean, without meeting any land mass. However, Reunion and Mauritius have been showered Heavily during all these episodes. On one hand, while Tropical Cyclone BERGUITTA continues to intensify and to appear a serious menace to Mauritius, on the other side a Tropical Disturbance is in formation in the Mozambique Channel. This is the ‘Hot Spot’ of the South-West Indian Ocean Basin. International Centres: the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has named it 99S INVEST; Météo-France (MF) has named it as 4-2017-2018. In case of intensification, it may be named CEBILE Moderate Tropical Storm. Besides, it resembles DINEO after CARLOS in Season 2016-2017.  Is it DOOMSDAY?

 

96S INVEST- Named JOYCE by Australia Bureau of Meteorology.

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96S INVEST-Forecast as Severe Tropical Cyclone

Within 24 Hours for Australia- 

Named JOYCE

(See Updates below)

                

The Southern Hemisphere of the Indian Ocean appears, no doubt, to develop some particular Dynamism in terms of Cyclones and Rainfalls. IRVIN-Severe Tropical Cyclone formed in the West of Cocos Island. It was named, by Australian Bureau of Meteorology (ABOM), on 06 January 2018. IRVIN is still influencing Eastern Indian Ocean and a Fujiwhara Effect is expected with the weakening Tropical Cyclone AVA.

Another Cyclone is highly probable, for Western Australia. Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has identified Tropical Disturbance 96S INVEST to intensify within 24 hours. The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (ABOM) indicates, as at 5.52 pm (11.52 am Mtian-Time), 09 January 2018, that ‘Tropical Low’ is expected to develop into a Severe Tropical Cyclone almost at the same pace.

Rodrigues- Predicted Heavy Rainfalls by 13 January 2018: 97S INVEST- (BERGUITTA named)- 100% Perfect PREDICTION.

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Rodrigues- Predicted Heavy Rainfalls by 13 January 2018. 

100% Perfect Prediction

97S INVEST- (BERGUITTA named)

(See Updates below)

The Summer Season 2017-2018 for South Indian Ocean has undergone a Dynamic Change in Weather Patterns, as compared to the previous years. Rodrigues Island, located around Latitude 220 South and Longitude 630 East, in under the impacts of the currently prevailing Cyclones AVA and IRVIN-the First Twin Weather Systems of this zone. Moreover, the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), the South-East Trade Winds (SETW) and the Robust Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) are contributing for the occurrence of HEAVY RAINFALLS, particularly on the drought-stricken Rodrigues. It is a Phenomenal Zone wherein all these systems undergo an Atmospheric Fusion. As a result, Extreme Weather Events take place. Besides, Reunion Island has already broken, yesterday 09 January 2018, the World Record (690 mm) in terms of Rainfalls in 6 hours with 737.2 mm of precipitations. This is Predicted, highly likely, to happen by 13 January 2018.   

IRVIN Tropical Cyclone named by Australia BOM-2nd Cyclone for South Indian Ocean 2017-2018.

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IRVIN Tropical Cyclone named by Australia BOM

Evolving from Cocos Islands-

2nd Cyclone for South Indian Ocean 2017-2018.

(Pl, Wait as Uploading is Still ON) 

The Summer Season 2017-2018 for South Indian Ocean appears to develop a particular dynamism in terms of Cyclones and Rains. While Tropical Cyclone AVA is making landfall across Madagascar, bands of Rain Clouds are following it, causing additional Disasters. The Australia Bureau of Meteorology (ABOM) has named another System as IRVIN Tropical Cyclone this morning. This Cyclone is moving West South-West at 20 kph. It represents a serious threat to Rodrigues, Mauritius and Reunion which have, during current week, been under floods associated with Tropical Cyclone AVA.

NB: Météo-France-Reunion (MFR) and Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC have been consistently signaling Cyclogenesis in this zone.

AVA- First named Cyclone for Season 2017-2018 South Indian Ocean

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AVA- First named Cyclone for Season 2017-2018

South Indian Ocean

(Pl, Wait as Uploading is still ON)

The Summer Season 2017-2018 for South Indian Ocean started officially from 01 November 2017. A Rainy episode occurred 14-17 November thereon. One Sub-Tropical Disturbance evolved in South of Madagascar 09-12 November 2017 and a second one on 17 November. Another Rainy period lasted from 23 to24 December 2017. Tropical Disturbance 94S INVEST formed on 29 December in the South-East of Diego Garcia moving almost West South-West after a slow intensification. Local, regional and international Forecasters experienced a lot of uncertainty regarding its dissipation or upgrading. Finally, it was named, at 10.00 am today 03 January 2018, by Météo-Madagascar as AVA Moderate Tropical Storm. It is noteworthy to state that the Pattern of Cyclogenesis for this Season seems to have changed as compared to that of 2016-2017 and of previous years.

Weather and Cyclone Names for Summer Season 2017-2018 Southern Indian Ocean Basin

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Weather and Cyclone Names for Summer Season 2017-2018

Southern Indian Ocean Basin

(Pl Wait, Uploading is Still ON)

The Weather Systems, forming and evolving in the Southern Indian Ocean Basin, have undergone significant changes. The Patterns of previous years do not seem to be consistent. Meteorologists, Forecasters and Scientists are obliged to do their homework competently. 01 November marks, officially, the beginning of Summer Season in the South-West Indian Ocean. However, as at date, Cyclogenesis have been signalled rather timidly, at local, regional and international levels. Nevertheless, the Summer Outlook 2016-17’ released by KANHYE.COM is a Record in Prediction of Weather on Medium Term basis. Refer to article.

Keep watch for more.

PKANHYE                    11.25 am Saturday 30 December 2017.

OCKHI Very Severe Cyclonic Storm-Brief Assessment and Disaster Resilience in India

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OCKHI Very Severe Cyclonic Storm-Brief Assessment and

Disaster Resilience in India

International Centres

NOAA Climate Prediction Center has been indicating Cyclogenesis and Rainfall in the Bay of Bengal since 01 November until 28 November 2017. It was valid although Very Severe Cyclonic Storm OCKHI tracked towards the Arabian Sea. Refer to the pictures.

Central India-Heavy Rains and Cyclonic System Approaching.

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Central India-Heavy Rains and Cyclonic System Approaching

                (Updated: 4.30 pm Monday 24 July 2017.)

                                   

On one hand, the Northern Hemisphere-Tropic of Cancer seems to be under the onslaughts of a series of Cyclonic Systems. While the Atlantic Ocean appears to be rather calm, except one Cyclone, the Weather Systems in the whole Pacific Ocean are very dynamical. NOAA explains: There appears to have been some organization of a coherent MJO signal over the past one to two weeks, though other convective variability continues to make for a complicated picture.”

On the other hand, the South-West Indian Monsoon is triggering Heavy Rainfalls and Flash Floods in which more than 70 people have been reported dead during this week and economic, agricultural and residential sectors have also been seriously affected.

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