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GAJA Cyclonic Storm-Bay of Bengal

Pre-Winter Season 2018

The whole of Indian Ocean is under the rare phenomenon of simultaneous formations of Cyclones. While the Southern Ocean is experiencing a dual Weather System-ALCIDE and BOUCHRA, The Northern Hemisphere has begotten –GAJA Cyclonic Storm in the Bay of Bengal. It is highly likely to evolve into further intensifications within 4-5 days. Moreover, Very Severe Air quality prevailing in India is likely to cause chocking breath for the population.

India Meteorological Department (IMD) issued its Press Release today 11 November 2018 as follows:

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BOUCHRA Mod/Trop/Storm-Weakening & Reviving

2^nd Cyclone for Season 2018-2019

(See updates below)

Mention has been rightly made in previous article regarding ALCIDE, that ‘the formation of a band of Low Pressure in Southern Indian Ocean at the end of October has been a perfect indication for the entrance of an Early Summer Season 2018-2019.’ Also that ‘the presence of 94S INVEST in the North East of Mauritius and also of 93S INVEST East of Diego Garcia prove that the South-West Indian Ocean (SWIO) will likely experience Disastrous Cyclones and Rains this Season.’

The Tropical Disturbance which was evolving at 5.7°South and 88.8°East of Diego Garcia has intensified rapidly. The System has been named by the Mauritius Meteorological Services (MMS), at 22.30 hrs on Saturday 10 November 2018, as Moderate Tropical Storm BOUCHRA. This 2^nd Cyclone in the Southern Indian Ocean and which has named within a week-time of ALCIDE, proves that Season 2018-2019 will no doubt beget a Dynamic Period. While Tiny ALCIDE is still struggling and weakening in the North-East of Madagascar, BOUCHRA was almost stationary far 3000 km North-East of Mauritius. As at today, 11 November, it is moving Westwards at 14 km/h.

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94S INVEST-ALCIDE First Cyclone Season 2018-2019

Heralded by Traditional Knowledge and

Ahead of International Scientific Centres

  (Pl, see Update  below)

The formation of a band of Low Pressure in Southern Indian Ocean at the end of October has been a perfect indication for the entrance of an Early Summer Season 2018-2019. Observations of the Atmosphere around the Mauritius, made by applying Traditional, Indigenous and Local Knowledge/Practices (TILK/P) indicated an oncoming Dynamic Cyclonic Season. It is very interesting to note that tropical fruits have been blossoming almost everywhere, especially mangoes and litchis which were very low in production during last year and during precedent seasons. The sky invaded by Alto Cumulus Clouds on 23 October 2018 confirmed the Formation of Cyclone and Rains which are approaching.

The presence of 94S INVEST in the North East of Mauritius and also of 93S INVEST East of Diego Garcia prove that the South-West Indian Ocean (SWIO) will likely experience Disastrous Cyclones and Rains this Season. It is noteworthy to state that the Pacific Ocean has undergone a boisterous season with more than 28 Typhoons this year. So, the paradigm shift is now in the Southern Hemisphere.

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UNISDR-13 October 2018-

Reducing Disaster Economic Losses in Relation to Global GDP by 2030.

The United Nations has proclaimed, in 2009, 13 October as INTERNATIONAL DAY FOR DISASTER REDUCTION. Previously, that is since 1989, the second Wednesday of the month of October was recognized as such. All the countries of the Blue Planet are requested to observe this particular day for the well-being of Mankind. This is expected to be translated in terms of Protection and Security against psychological distress, bodily injury, loss of life, of property, of livelihood, and of a trail of miseries that natural and man-made calamities can potentially cause.

Besides, Disaster Resilience is the ''Wealth of the Nation', in which Food Security is the main Treasure, amongst others. It is also the Pathway towards Sustainable Development and enrichment of the Wealth and of Well-being of Humanity. Yet, miseries are rampant in almost all countries.

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Cyclonic Storm LUBAN-Arabian Sea and Deep Depression-Bay of Bengal

Coincide with the gradual Withdrawal of

South-West Asian Monsoon System 2018

Deadly Severe Cyclonic Storm SAGAR(17-21 May 2018) along the Gulf of Aden and Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm MEKUNU (18-26 May 2018), very rare in the Arabian Sea, have proved that Climate, Weather and Hydrology patterns have altered considerably in North Indian Ocean. The South-West Asian Monsoon System (SWAMS) Onset, officially, started as from Tuesday 29 May 2018 in Kerala, causing Humanitarian Crisis thereafter during 13 to 23 August.

Cyclonic Storm LUBAN in the Arabian Sea was named yesterday Monday 08 October 2018 and Cyclonic Storm TITLI in the Bay of Bengal has been baptised today Tuesday 09 October. The landmass of India, the sub-continent, is sandwiched between these two Weather Systems, coinciding also with the Monsoon Withdrawal which normally takes place by 15 October 2018. All these prove that Natural Disasters are evolving dynamically in the Northern Indian Ocean. India Meteorological Department (IMD), which is also the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center (RSMC), has issued its Warning as from Monday 08 October 2018.

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International Court of Justice Hague Netherlands

CHAGOS RIGHTS and DECOLONIZATION-

UK Sinking being Unable to 'Rule the Waves'

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11^th World Hindi Conference Hosted in Mauritius

18-20 August 2018

Unfortunate death of ex-PM AB VAJPAYEE 

The Origin of HINDI Language is India, but the World Hindi Secretariat is found in Mauritius. It is the symbiotic relationship between these two countries which has given birth to such an Institution. In fact, this was incepted in India since 1975.

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GLOSSARY

This is a very valuable Resource for Enhancing the Knowledge of Educators, Teachers, Students and general Public.

Policy Makers of Mauritius, who are Part-Timers and Amateurs, appear to be Illiterate in Disaster Management. Like-wise, those of many countries are also in the same category, as explained in various articles in this Website-www.kanhye.com. 

So, they all have the obligation of enhancing their own Knowledge and of sharing to those ‘have-nots’.

“To die before sharing, is departing like a Thief”(English)

“Mourir sans partager, c’est partir en Voleur”(French)

CLICK HERE, in order to Learn and to Understand all Scientific Words, Terms and Expressions (a to z) from NASA Earth Observatory (Source/Courtesy).

PKANHYE.           FRIDAY 03 AUGUST 2018.

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South-West Asian Monsoon 2018 Early Onset 

WMO Salutes IMD

   (See Final Update)

The South-West Asian Monsoon System (SWAMS) has officially started as from today Tuesday 29 May 2018. It is interesting to say that the Atmospheric Conditions of the recent weeks have been marked by Heat Waves, Thunderstorms, Lightning, Hailstones and Dust Storms. These have been Deadly with at least 150 losses of lives, lots of destructions and damages across India. Deadly Severe Cyclonic Storm SAGAR (17-21 May 2018) along the Gulf of Aden and Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm MEKUNU (18-26 May 2018), very rare in the Arabian Sea, have proved that Climate, Weather and Hydrology patterns have altered considerably in whole Indian Ocean. Like-wise the South-West Asian Monsoon System has made an early entry, just like last years’ onset on 30 May 2017, contrary to previous years. The same was mentioned in articles on SAGAR and MEKUNU in this Website. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has mentioned the 2018 Monsoon Onset from Kerala region as from 29 May.

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MEKUNU Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm (92A INVEST)

Very Rapid Intensification Threatening Directly

Horn of Africa, Socotra, Oman, Yemen and Saudi Arabia.

(Final UPDATE below. Pl, be patient. )

The Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) of the Northern Indian Ocean along the Tropic of Cancer is evolving in an enhanced phase. Hardly has SAGAR Cyclonic Storm (17-21 May 2018) made landfall in Northern Somalia and Ethiopia, 92A INVEST has formed since 18 May 2018. This Tropical Disturbance is highly likely to intensify into a Tropical Depression/Deep Depression very rapidly and be named probably today as MEKUNU. Eventually, it is forecast to be upgraded to Very Severe Cyclonic Storm very early. The Atmospheric Conditions in the Zone of Arabian Sea reaching 31⁰ Celsius and of the adjoining landmass (Oman) 40-42 degrees Celsius are conducive for the evolution of a Stronger Storm than the previous one. Horn of Africa, Socotra, Yemen, Oman and Saudi Arabia all fall along the JTWC Forecast Track. So, the Meteorological Services and population of these countries should keep constant watch and be Prepared for Calamitous Conditions.

No doubt, this will influence the South-West Asian Monsoon whose onset is Predicted, by the India Meteorological Department (IMD) to take place earlier than 01 June 2018.